JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/12/24

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Ben Clemens

2:44

and hey, in line with my real behavior

gbs42

2:44

Bees?

Ben Clemens

2:44

we'll see who gets more honey

2:44

re: boras tactics, why'd altuve switch to boras if this seems like what he always wanted to do?

Ben Clemens

2:44

Eh, maybe he wanted to rattle the Astros into making a deal?

I dunno

Nate

2:44

Do the Brewers trade Williams at the deadline if they're out of it

Ben Clemens

2:44

I do not think they will

2:45

I think that there are limits to their ability to run their preferred strategy and keep fans interested

and that unless the return for Williams is huge

they will breach those limits by trading him, Adames (definitely gonna get moved if Williams does), and Burnes in a year

Justin

2:45

You just reminded me of Bartolo Colon, who had the best pitcher fielding position I can remember seeing and put up positive defensive numbers despite being 40 and fat.

Ben Clemens

2:45

Mike

2:45

Ya, sorry, don't do it for stainless.....but I only own one stainless at this point.

War2D2

2:45

Late to the chat, sorry if this has been asked and I missed it. I feel like the Cubs’ best move would be Chapman and/or Montgomery, but most everyone seems to think Bellinger is the foregone conclusion. Where do you fall on this?
(Ignoring for a moment that I think their actual move will be to swim in their money vault like Scrooge McDuck and sign nobody at all)

Ben Clemens

2:46

I'd sign Montgomery if I were them

it just doesn't sound like that linkup is in the cards

Jules

2:47

If I'm the Pirates and see the projections putting them last, but only back by like 7 games. Isn't this the time to push for those marginal wins, or nah? I feel like for a NL Central that's winnable, the Bucs have done a whole lotta nothing

Ben Clemens

2:47

It absolutely is

they absolutely will not do it

I just don't see any evidence that it's how they operate

wheelhouse

2:48

most projection systems seem to think stanton, rizzo, lemahieu bounce back to some extent. do you buy that? is there any trend in whether older players' projected bouncebacks actually happen or not?

Ben Clemens

2:48

Dan can probably get into a little more detail on this, but there's not much/any systematic bias in projections by age

For me personally, I'm VERY skeptical of a Stanton bounceback

I feel like that's a place where I have information on his health that the model simply can't know

2:49

that he's a comically large mountain of a man without historical precedent

bosoxforlife

2:49

Since it is obvious that Gary Sheffield was penalized for actually playing defense?, how do you accept the fact that David Ortiz was better off not going on the field with a glove. Simply terrible!

Ben Clemens

2:49

I completely agree

171

2:49

re: boras, i think people assuming he uses the same approach for negotiations with all of his clients is incorrect. he wouldn't be the best in the business if he wasn't aiming to meet the needs of the player over maximizing money. this also relates to young player extensions, if a player wants to extend, boras is going to work to get that done but also, players who hire boras probably are looking to maximize their earnings in fa and therefore not want to extend.

Ben Clemens

2:49

Yeah, very good point in my opinion

Boras would not be great if he had exactly one playbook

2:50

he might have some types of playbooks that he's better at that draw clients who want to do that kind of thing to him

but if Altuve called him and said 'hey man, I wanna re-sign with the Astros, would you negotiate that for me?'

what's he gonna say

Definitely an MLB Agent

2:50

Player reps offer a lot of services in addition to negotiating contracts. Obviously the contracts are the big draw, but some players want their money nice and neat in a briefcase and some want wisely invested in Egyptian obelisk acquisitions. Not every agency is good at both.

Ben Clemens

2:50

Let's talk about these obelisk acquisitions

i feel like that's a place where you could really stand out as an agent

2:51

also are you Amon-Ra St. Brown's agent?

Matt (Oceanside)

2:51

Between the Dodgers and the Braves, the projections seem to favor the Braves by about five wins, but when considering the depth, the Dodgers would seem to be in a better place to weather a major injury. Love what Atlanta is doing, but I am fearful that an injury to Acuna or Olson would be more costly than Betts or Freeman going down? Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:51

I do agree with this sentiment

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