JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/14/22

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/14/22

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Ben Clemens

2:11

But I think it would be cool for them to try something generally like that

Great idea!

Bart

2:11

When do you think the season will start? How many days 1 62, 154, or 140?

Ben Clemens

2:11

out of these options, I'll pick 62

Oh, that says 162, I see

How many games? I'll say 154

I think they might scrunch the season in and push the playoffs ever so slightly back

Bobby Zimmerman

2:12

Does Dylan Cease approach ace level this year?

Ben Clemens

2:12

Nah

I really like what he's done in changing the shape of his fastball

But I just don't buy the command staying high enough to make it work at an ace level

Inaccessible Rail

2:13

Now that it seems like we’ll see the universal DH in 2022…assuming there is a season, what teams do you think will be helped by this the most? What teams will be hurt? And which NL contender has the greatest opportunity to improve because of this?

Ben Clemens

2:14

I think the Dodgers and Giants will both benefit quite a bit from this, just because they're set up with plenty of overlapping depth

2:15

The Mets are probably up there as well, just because they have too many bats

Dan's projections are with NL DH included, if you're looking for a general idea

chilly

2:16

of the in house options u think tor will hand 2b to kevin smith? he tore up the minors last yr and seems to have legit changed

Ben Clemens

2:17

I think they'll hand it to Biggio, personally

and keep Espinal at third

I'd take Espinal over Smith, though of course they'll probably just have all three up and shuffle them around

Baby Bear

2:18

Rumors abound as to the Cubs re-signing Rizzo or occasionally you'll hear Schwarber or KB....but isn't it possible that not only did Jed Hoyer want to rebuild and not pay for the past--but that he wanted a change in team chemistry and won't take the aformentioned back even at a discount?

Ben Clemens

2:19

I mean, I guess? Rizzo and Schwarber aren't exactly known as bad clubhouse pieces or anything, everyone loves Rizzo. It doesn't feel like the kind of thing you'd ever get a straight answer to -- but my guess is that if the team liked those guys enough to keep them around for five years while they had an incredible winning culture, Hoyer probably doesn't secretly think they're clubhouse Kryptonite

Tom

2:19

I hate to ask, but where will your time and attention turn in the event of an extended lock-out? Historical research, other sports, other interests entirely?

Ben Clemens

2:20

Personally? I think I'll play more video games and board games, and probably get more into tennis, which is a non-baseball sport that I enjoy analyzing from time to time

I'd also just be really sad

Alex Menting

2:21

Seeing all of the articles on FanGraphs about VAA recently has me wondering, do you know of any under the radar type players whose VAA numbers could signal something we don’t see in traditional ways of measuring stuff? Thinking specifically of players like the Joe Ryan piece.

Ben Clemens

2:21

I've written about him a lot but I still think Logan Webb is underrated

dprat

2:21

What do you make of Nick Martinez? Fringy #5 on a contender or top 80 SP?

Ben Clemens

2:21

I'm closer to fringy #5

x2R

2:21

Chance of Albert Pujols to pass 700HR? with St. Louis?

Ben Clemens

2:21

I don't think it's happening with St. Louis

If he wanted to do that for nostalgia he would have done it last year

Or rather, if there were mutual interest

Jake

2:21

i have first pick in a keeper league draft. Is there anyone who has a good case to be taken over Tatis?

Ben Clemens

2:21

Soto, Vlad

2:22

I don't think positional scarcity matters that much when you're talking about talents this good

vr

2:22

This is a logistic question, but do you know why fangraphs does not track quality starts?

Ben Clemens

2:22

We've discussed it, and don't quote me on this, but I think there's a non-zero chance we ad d it this year

clem bevins

2:22

who is your favorite not-that-good player in the mlb right now?

Ben Clemens

2:23

Ooh, excellent question

Kind of depends on what you mean by not-that-good, but I'll draw the line at average

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