JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/14/22

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Ben Clemens

2:23

Luke Weaver?

2:24

Eh, I guess he might not get below the line

Brent Suter is in the same boat

2:25

Rich Hill is up there. David Fletcher

I don't konw, I love all kinds of marginal players

Sad Mariner

2:25

If you had to bet, do the Mariners make the playoffs in 2022 or 2023?

Ben Clemens

2:25

I'll take yes

The playoffs are certain to expand, and the Mariners are on the upswing. I don't know if they'll hit it this year, but if you give me two years and a 50/50 proposition, I'll definitely take yes

Jake

2:26

JD Martinez or Nick Castellanos?

Ben Clemens

2:26

Castellanos but it's close

Bob

2:26

What year do the Pirates become competitive again with a 12/14 team playoff?

Ben Clemens

2:26

2028

2:27

That's probably too harsh, but I just hate what they're doing at the major league level, and I worry about teams just riding the rebuilding bicycle forever

dwills

2:27

Does Joe Ross have a career year? Assuming an agreement is reached that is

Ben Clemens

2:27

Hard for me to imagine he has a better season than 2016, so I'll say no

2:28

But I do think that he should get plenty of chances to shine if he's healthy

2:29

Given that he has a partial UCL tear, that doesn't seem particularly likely, but look, the Nats will give him a shot to rebuild his value

Tiger

2:29

How worried are you about Mookie Betts? What kind of odds are you putting on him being mostly solid in terms of health in 2022?

Ben Clemens

2:30

I am not particularly worried about Mookie Betts. I would give him about the same odds of good health as any position player, which is to say I'd be surprised if he doesn't get to 600 PA

He did look worn down at points last season, no argument there

But nothing about his 2021 season makes me think he's lost a step

dprat

2:30

Points league: choose between a couple still young but disappointing (to date) outfielders: Benintendi or Austin Hays?

Ben Clemens

2:32

I'm not perfectly familiar with the scoring of points leagues, but I think I'll take Benintendi. They seem pretty similar to me from looking at their existing stats, but Hays is getting a big ballpark downgrade this year

chilly

2:32

does larussa give enough at bats to vaughn to let him have a yr2 breakthru or u think hell basically rotate vaughn, sheets, engel

Ben Clemens

2:32

I think Vaughn and Sheets will get rotated a good deal and also spell people across the diamond. I don't hate that approach from LaRussa, though

2:33

If you're giving Vaughn everyday AB's, you could say "Sheets is being blocked!" pretty easily

and vice versa

I think Engel is the weakest link but he's also the best defender, so it's understandable that he'll get run as well

Grant

2:33

Have you ever been to a board game cafe? My wife and I discovered one near us with over 1400 games to pick from, and only $5 entry!

Ben Clemens

2:34

Yeah, there's a cool one here in SF that my wife and I have been to a few times

It's called Game Parlour, if you're from the area

COVID obviously messed with the idea of board game cafes pretty heavily, but we went a few times pre-COVID and have been back once or twice

2:35

It's a fun time, and also a good way to shop around for games if you aren't sure what to get

171

2:35

Think there's any realistic chance that the O's sign someone like Rodon for a 1yr out of the lockout and flip him at the deadline?

Ben Clemens

2:35

Mmm.... no

I don't think there's much incentive on Rodon's part to sign with the O's

Jfast

2:35

Jake Meyers: FV 45 or FV 55?

Ben Clemens

2:36

Closer to 55 than 45 for me, I think the bat plays just enough to keep his solid glove out there

And that shape works for me generally -- acceptable CF defender with league-average bat

Ryan

2:37

Are there any other announcer pet-peeves you had that got left on the cutting room floor?

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