JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/14/22

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/14/22

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Ben Clemens

2:37

record after scoring first is a big one

one that annoys me that I couldn' think of a good way to study is the early-season 'record when this pitcher is starting'

or when this catcher is catching

2:38

But the home run one and the 'leading after x innings' one are my two least favorites

There was one on the Marlins' broadcast last year about record in games hwere the team hit a three-run bomb that was awful, but that's so specific that I hope no one ever repeats it

Teddy

2:38

Is there a more professional hitter than Michael Brantley?

Ben Clemens

2:39

There is not

And if you play the "Michael Brantley -- professional hitter" drinking game, good luck!

It's the most used trope in baseball

Guest

2:39

Who is your favorite deep league breakout SP?

Ben Clemens

2:39

Luke Weaver!

2:40

But failing him, I'm interested in some Joe Ryan shares. Also Alek Manoah and my perennial pick Adrian Houser

Ryan

2:40

A few RSNs redesigned their scorebug to include a list of that plate appearance's previous pitch types and velocities. Is there some other semi-niche thing that you would add to the scorebug if you could?

Ben Clemens

2:40

That's a HUGE improvement and it's really cool to see

I can't think of which ones did it offhand, but hats off to them

2:41

I like the infield positioning scorebug -- I think more broadcasts should use that

I do think that scorebugs are pretty good though. I just want the stats they show with players to be better -- better batting stats, maybe my improved line score, that kind of thing

Nat

2:42

I think last week you said you were interested in rule changes that increase BABIP. how about 1. smaller gloves; 2. shorter infield grass 3. go all in on the bouncier but high-drag ball- faster in the infield but harder to hit homers?

Ben Clemens

2:42

I'm skeptical on the gloves just because I don't really look forward to glove-measuring contests

Into the infield grass change for sure

2:43

I'm against 3 because uh, I don't want the league to start doing more to mess with baseballs

It's not like they have a good record of purposefully and openly changing baseball aerodynamics

So let's leave that out of it

chilly

2:43

if toro takes 3b and runs with it what do u think his seasonal numbers will look like?

Ben Clemens

2:44

Something like Steamer's projection, but over 600 PA; .257/.332/.424 with 20 homers, basically

That would be a really nice player for 23 innings of Kendall Graveman

Nats

2:45

What are the chances that the Nats extend Soto before he reaches free agency?

Ben Clemens

2:45

I think they're low, but this is something that I don't believe I have any edge in forecasting

2:46

People with front office connections, Soto connections, or just a general idea of how those negotiations tend to work would have a better idea than me

Guest

2:46

Any interest in holding Evan White in dynasty leagues?

Ben Clemens

2:46

Nope!

Estevão

2:46

roger maris was intentionally walked at least once in every single season of his career. with the exception of the 61 HR season, hitting in front of mantle will do that to you. fun fact

Ben Clemens

2:46

That's pretty great

Bob

2:47

We're missing regular season games, aren't we?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I think iti's more likely than not at this point

There's still plenty of time for things to get resolved but the owners' tactics just don't look to me like something that will result in a quick solution

2:48

The players might just give their last and best this week and the owners could accept it

But when both sides are moving by $5 million per offer and they're hundreds of millions apart

I don't see much reason to think things will suddenly break their way

(their way = our way, oops)

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