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Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/15/21

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Ben Clemens

2:45

Just bring him up if he's ready

Ha Seong Kim

2:45

Should I be regretting my decision to sign with the Padres given they have a lot of depth and its not guaranteed I will see every day at bat?

Side news, I guess the level is vastly different between the KBO and MLB given by my struggles in spring training....

Ben Clemens

2:45

Well, I wouldn't read too much into the spring training struggles, personally.

The depth thing was always kinda worrisome, but not more now than it was before ST

2:47

That said, I haven't watched much of the Padres in ST. If his approach is terrible, that's not great

Matt

2:47

is the 2021 NL DH at 0 percent chance now?

Ben Clemens

2:47

Sadly I think so

Guest

2:47

Been a patient Freddy Peralta fan for several years. This the year? 5x5 Roto keeper league and can keep this year at $10; 2 yrs at $15; or throw him back in the pool and hope I can land him in that $10 - 15 range and gain 3 years control. Thought?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I'd probably risk sending him back

I too am a Peralta admirer, love being greedy

2:47

Cardinals seem to be having a pretty miserable ST so far--but O'Neill is playing well and Carlson is not. Should Carlson worry about PT?

Ben Clemens

2:48

He should, but not b/c of ST, it just isn't that big of a deal

He's also hitting the ball reasonably hard, which is a good sign

As I quickly peruse the savant leaderboards here

2:49

He's hit a ball harder than O'Neill has this ST, for example, which sounds kinda weird

Moonlight Graham

2:49

Is it more likely Vladito hits 40 homers or hits .320?

Ben Clemens

2:50

.320, let's say

Vlad is weird b/c I think a lot of the 'he's gonna go nova' hype is around him getting the ball in the air more

When he does, he hits the crap out of it

2:51

But I think betting against a swing change is usually the safe move

5 Run Homer

2:51

"Iye vill splyash ze pyot in my clyub venever ze f*** Iye plyeaze" in Rounders is one of the greatest silly lines in any movie ever. Bad accents are fun!

Ben Clemens

2:51

Another great one

"And you von't be puuuuushed ahhhround'

It's just all so good

Charley

2:51

A bit new to baseball, (but loving this sport!). Can you provide a quick/brief explanation regarding SPs? for fantasy or in RL. I see experts and articles and in general discuss "aces". Some of the questions above also asked about "Aces", but you responded that an "Ace" is not always #1 starter. But wouldn't John Means or Gausman or... Flagherty be "aces" for their respective teams? Straussberg would be an "ace" if healthy, but he's also #2 no? What do industry experts or teams use to gauge if a pitcher is ace quality? the Innings pitched? SO potential? durability?

Ben Clemens

2:51

Great question, and I'm going to be honest with you, I don't have a great answer

2:52

In my head (and I can't claim to speak for anyone else), there are 30 #1 starters, the best starter on each team

An ace is something more ephemeral -- it's one of the elite pitchers who you can pencil into the Cy Young top 5 before the year

And be shocked if you're wrong

Maybe top 5 is wrong, but the discussion

2:53

Teams can have two aces... I'd put Strasburg on there if he were healthy

I think it's strikeouts, IP, durability, the feeling of 'oh this guy is unhittable'

But again, that's for me. If your definition of an ace is a team's #1 pitcher, I mean, it's subjective! we're both right

5 Run Homer

2:53

Wouldn't the White Sox' decision to bring up Robert on opening day inform what they'll do with Vaughn?

Ben Clemens

2:53

Yes, another sign pointing to yes

Moonlight Graham

2:54

Arozarena or the field for AL ROY? And if Kelenic breaks camp with the Mariners is he the favorite?

Ben Clemens

2:54

Easy field here

I love Randy, but baseball is hard and the field is big

Greg

2:54

If you had to pick one team to win the 2024 NL Central, who would it be?

Ben Clemens

2:54

I think I'd take the Cardinals by a hair over the Brewers

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