JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/3/2024

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Ben Clemens

2:46

I don't think that the lineup can be fixed this season, though. Having big problems at three positions (1b, C, CF) is just hard

I think that there's a bit of throwing good money after bad here, making a bunch of trades this year feels too early

2:47

I think that being aggressive this offseason is a completely logical fit. Will they do it? I dunno! Bob Nutting does not inspire confidence

Hans Gruber

2:47

How do you like Christian walker at 1B for the Yankees at the deadline if the ‘backs don’t inch closer to the WC and rizzo (who isn’t fielding well either) doesn’t start hitting?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I think the DBacks would have to fall further out of the race for them to trade Walker

They made big upgrades this offseason to try to run back their success

2:48

I think that they're probably pretty intent on having a good season and trying to make the playoffs, so they'd have to be blown away by an offer to move someone

MORE SOTO QUESTIONS

2:48

Soto has a career low walk rate but is hitting for more power. I know the evidence for lineup effects is mostly nothing, but I'm curious if any of that is because of Judge behind him?

Ben Clemens

2:48

I mean, hasn't been enough data to say I don't think

and like, it's a career low but not by a ton and it's still 14.4%

Colton

2:48

Buy or sell, Mariners are getting the second coming of 2009 Franklin Gutierrez with this Victor Robles signing lol

Ben Clemens

2:49

Buy! He'll get hot, and then cool off but everyone will remember him fondly anyway

André René Roussimoff

2:49

Is Sutter Health Park a pitcher's stadium or a hitter's stadium?

Ben Clemens

2:50

I don't have the answer for you, but I can tell you that it felt small to me

Patrick

2:50

Hello Ben Thanks for your time. is the "first half" filter in baseball splits leaderboard referring to first 5 innings?

Ben Clemens

2:50

first half of the season

Mike Hazen

2:50

What do you think I'm doing at the deadline? Things look bad, but presumably the starters won't be hurt forever and Corbin Carroll will remember how to hit eventually, and it's not like SF and SD are *that* far ahead.

Ben Clemens

2:50

Yeah, just like I said, I think you're going for it

Chickie

2:50

Edouard Julien just got sent to AAA for poor performance and the return of Royce Lewis. Take a look at both Julien and ELDC’s numbers over the past 28 days and they’re pretty darn close. With the exception of SBs and K’s, where Elly holds that advantage/disadvantage. If McLain and Marte were healthy and active , I’d guess Elly would’ve been AAA bound himself.

Ben Clemens

2:50

I mean, what?

2:51

I do not think that makes sense? And like.... if you're sending people down for 28 days of performance you should not be anywhere near a GM's seat

Dan is writing about the Julien demotion later today, or maybe it's already up actually

Clubhouse Chemistry

2:52

Have you noticed many GM’s go after clubhouse glue guys despite lackluster stats? Look at the whole Dodgers bench, Austin Barnes, Chris Taylor, Kike Hernandez, and Miggy Rojas are all usually terrible hitters and sporadic at defensive

Ben Clemens

2:52

This feels like a Dodgers specific thing of bringing back the old band

I think that Taylor is tehre b/c he used to be a roster band aid who could hit like 10% better than league average

and like.... hey he still has a contract

2:53

but I agree that their bench is too heavy on veteran presence types

deBride

2:54

Crochet has never thrown more than 65 documented innings in a season...ever. High School, College, Minors, Majors. How high can his IP total responsibly climb this year?

Ben Clemens

2:54

oh man.... like.... 120? maybe?

it's definitely a concern

Guest

2:55

if you were a prospect and heard your name in talks going to the White Sox (or Rockies or Tigers or Pirates or), how badly would you panic about your future earning potential?

(better framing: if you were their agent)

Ben Clemens

2:55

Rockies, yes!

Coors hitters get devalued 'b/c coors' but their pitchers never pan out

I think that I'd panic less on the other teams b/c if you're good, great news, they'll trade you

deBride

2:55

Tampa, Cleveland and Milwaukee have three of the four lowest average team fastball velocities on the FG leaderboards. Coincidence, or is there some intentionality going on there?

Ben Clemens

2:56

At least for Tampa and Milwaukee, some of that is that their hard throwers have gotten hurt

so maybe that's intentinoal?

bosoxforlife

2:56

There needs to be some exploration on the reason that very few of the touted young hitters are delivering anything close to what was expected. Is the gap between Triple-A pitching and the Show so great that is next to impossible to predict who can handle the velocity jump?

Ben Clemens

2:57

I don't know what makes the gap so different, but it's indisputably there. I don't think this is new. Every offseason Derek Carty, the guy who does the BAT projections and is generally just a good baseball prognosticator, sends a list of touted prospects and which ones under or over performed expectations in their rookie year

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