JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/14/23

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Ben Clemens

3:15

work from home full time

Ben

3:15

Thoughts on the Giants and their offensive struggles? Can they still sneak into the playoffs on the backs of their deep pitching staff?

Ben Clemens

3:16

Yeah, I think they can. The pitching goes a long way in that stadium

bosoxforlife

3:16

Dwight Evans

Ben Clemens

3:16

Also a good call

Guest

3:16

Re: Matt Damon movies, don't forget The Martian.

Ben Clemens

3:16

omg I did forget it!

Another banger

FA's

3:17

it seems odd that no contenders would be interested in Jean Segura or Trey Mancini for the league minimum, does this surprise you?

Ben Clemens

3:17

You know, it did at first but I kinda get it

You'd need to be a team that a)is definitely going to make the playoffs, so you can afford to be a little patient working them in

and b)needs a player of that level

that's, like... nobody?

3:18

maybe the Dodgers could take a chance on Segura because their depth feels perpetually stretched, but that seems to have been solved at the deadline. Or the Mariners could have a Segura reunion over Josh Rojas, but they just went out and traded for him, you know?

Danny

3:19

over under on angels wins next season assuming ohtani leaves but trout and rendon each play 140?

Ben Clemens

3:19

Jake

3:19

Speaking of peaches, who is your peach (high risk, high reward) player in this years free agent class?

Ben Clemens

3:19

I'll give you two hitters and two pitchers

Rhys Hoskins and Harrison Bader for hitters

3:20

Hoskins, who knows! Bader, he could be a star, but the health is a real issue and his offense is all over the place

Starters, that's easy for me. Julio Urias, is he great of so-so? Jordan Montgomery, if he's the guy he's showed for the last two years, he's really good, but I worry he's secretly just a five-and-dive type

bosoxforlife

3:21

James Paxton has to be one of the riskiest pitchers available.

Ben Clemens

3:22

Ah yeah, maybe I should have set my sights lower in the hierarchy of free agents

3:23

He's a great call

v2micca

3:23

Okay, maybe managers won't challenge every called strike three, but they will do that thing where they delay the game while their guys in the booth review the footage and radio down to them if they should challenge or not. Especially if the strikeout was the third out of the inning.

Ben Clemens

3:23

So, it's immediate only, and not from the dubout

dugout*

has to be pitcher/catcher/hitter

https://twitter.com/MiLB/status/1652087666836402178?

Here's one from earlier this year

3:24

it's a little faster now on the relay back and forth, but that's the idea

Ice Cream Helmet

3:24

What am I missing about the Defense component of WAR? When I look at WAR Team Leader page and rank by DEF it tells me that... only 4 teams are getting positive value from their defenses? That can't be correct, so I must be getting something fundamentally wrong.

Ben Clemens

3:25

It's a result of not zeroing stuff and applying positional adjustments. I think it's silly, for sure

but if you just add up all the positional adjustments, you'll get that every team is 17.5 runs below average per 162 games

Travis

3:26

Olson win MVP if he hits 60?

Ben Clemens

3:26

I think he will, yes

Krusty

3:26

I love that FG has fWAR (FIP-based) and RA9-WAR because together, they provide insight into that always murky term: "valuable"
Is there any chance that FG could add RE24-based WAR for position players (or WPA? cWPA? You're the experts!) for a similar purpose?

Ben Clemens

3:26

Oh, that's interesteing

We've been adding new stuff here and there, I'm still hoping EV95 is gonna be coming soon, but yeah, that's a fun one

Appa Yip Yip

3:26

I feel like the challenge system will take care of the really egregious stuff while keeping the zone a little bit squishy, which idk is just part of baseball. I'm looking forward to it.

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