JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/3/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/3/20

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Ben Clemens

2:16

And then I mean he made it fun both ways in the playoffs, etc.

Annoyed fan

2:16

I thought the taxi squad was created specifically to help clubs field a team in case of a breakout. Then all of a sudden the "competitiveness level" of taxi squads became an issue as if it came out of nowhere. Was the idea of a taxi squad an unrealistic mistake to begin with? I would think the taxi squads would be nowhere near the regular roster so they can come in and play at any given moment, so what happened?

not just the Marlins but all teams affected

Ben Clemens

2:16

I think people thought the taxi squads made sense for, say, three players being out

Like the Cards situation if nothin changes

The Marlins have 11 of their initial 30 left

That is an entirely different ball of wax

2:17

I guess I'd just say, I get it

If people were worried when a team was down four players, I'd say the concerns were overblown

2:18

The thing is, the Marlins barely had a major league roster in the first place

And now they're down 2/3 of that

Vic

2:18

What's your take on Hanser Alberto? I'm an Orioles fan and he was a pleasure to watch yesterday.

Chris

2:18

As someone who doesn't follow the Orioles, are they ahead of schedule and there young guys are performing or is this a 2019esk Mariners start with older vets over performing?

Ben Clemens

2:18

Little of both

Alberto has been raking (though with a .433 BABIP)

He's a really fun player and could be a part of the next good Orioles team

2:19

Same with Renato Nunez I think? Only 26 and can hit

But then, thet'yre getting value from Jose Iglesias and Pedro Severino and Pat Valaika, and nah

Chris

2:19

I recently read your piece (I think it was yours) on bunting in extra innings when tied. And wondered two things 1) is it statistically better to try to steal third and then hit vs bunt? 2) is a squeeze more likely statistically to produce the run if there is 1 out and the runner is on third than swinging away?

Ben Clemens

2:19

So as to 1) eh, it's very hard to know because we don't know how likely a successful steal of third is if you force a go

2:20

And 2)there just isn' enough data on squeezes

Both are things I considered

And I do like the idea of being aggressive on stealing third

But it's just hard ot know

Marko from Tropoja

2:20

Haven’t seen this in any game I’ve watched yet, but if you’re the visiting team and tied in extra innings, don’t you IBB the leadoff man to create a potential DP?

Ben Clemens

2:20

Depends who it is

I think you often do it if they sacrifice bun

bunt*

but it's definitely contextual, like all the extra inning stuff

Joshua

2:20

Nate Lowe to the Nats for Wil Crowe and James Bourque......who says no? Thanks.

Ben Clemens

2:21

I think the Rays do b/c that's just too much 40-man pressure

Without any real gain

It'd be fair if there were no roster limitations

But the Rays need to consolidate, not diversity

diversify*

Big Joey

2:21

Drop Villar at this point?

Guest

2:21

Any idea when the Marlins will show their roster? I have Villar on my bench doing nothing and I could pick up Kemp for the week. If Villar has COVID, I could just IL him, but there's no news on anything!

Ben Clemens

2:22

No idea! I chose not to play fantasy this year b/c I didn't want to deal with stuff like that, tbh

The Marlins are under no obligation to do anything, though

2:23

They'll release lineups before tomorrow's game, but I wouldn't bet on it being more than a few hours before

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