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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 1-28-2020
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CubFan
4:48
How high are you on Luzardo this year? He carries a $3 salary in a 12 team AL only 5x5 H2H keeper league. $260 team salary on auction day.
Brad Johnson
4:49
Like $12-$18 range in AL Only?
I have trouble firing off Only valuations without a lot of refining
As the player pool constricts, valuation becomes more of a real, game-able thing.
4:50
When you're playing a 12-team mixed, it almost doesn't matter what you pay for anything as long as you're not doing anything ludicrous.
In any case, a $3 Luzardo is a fantasy get
P
4:50
Any shot at Pomeranz clsing this year?
Brad Johnson
4:51
Unlikely but not impossible.
That's a Yates is hurt or blew up scenario where they go with paid vet over Munoz
It's plausible. Like 10-20% to happen for at least a couple weeks.
Tony Z
4:51
Which if these will have the best 2020: Ryan Mohntcastle,  Evan White or Nick Solak?
Brad Johnson
4:51
Gimme Solak for 2020
Andrew
4:52
What do you expect from Griffin Canning this season?  His swinging strike numbers were outstanding, but definitely tailed off, plus the injury risk. Is it too bullish to hope for a mid tier SP performance?
Brad Johnson
4:52
I don't think that's too bullish. Basically my median expectation.
Some upside for more. Some floor for less.
Adam
4:52
Inheriting team in NL Only Keeper League this year. Any general advice?
Brad Johnson
4:52
Scroll back a little to my mini-rant about figuring out values and trying to game the playerverse.
4:53
I'm not polished enough on 2020 Only yet to offer much more. You gotta do the homework.
P
4:53
Stanton=Soler without the name dirving up price this year?
Brad Johnson
4:53
I'm not here for this take.
4:54
Gimme Stanton 10 times out of 10. I feel no urge to diversify.
diadem
4:54
in 4x4 bagging a category is certain death. Is bagging a category in 5x5 a viable strategy?
Brad Johnson
4:54
Well, I've seen it work.
I don't really recommend doing it intentionally
4:55
Sometimes you might realize in July that you're better off not chasing any more SB. Or those backup closers you thought would turn into saves did not but you're contending anyway.
Tulo
4:55
Would you trade tulo and CC for yelich.
Brad Johnson
4:55
I would.
Flip it around though...
Not so much
P
4:56
Do you start to recognize user names after a while and lean towards answering Questions of Repeat participants?
Brad Johnson
4:56
Not precisely.
Some users happen to format in a way that catches my eye
4:57
And I tend to settle in to a space in the submissions for 10 or 15 minutes before moving on so I sometimes answer multiple from the same person by accident.
My selections are almost subconscious.
---
4:57
I guess people get defensive though
Brad Johnson
4:57
this is re: the NFBC stuff. And yes. This is the metaphor I've settled on.
They think I've called their baby ugly
Nobody likes that.
4:58
What I actually said was "you have a very fine baby. But I don't like babies. I find them uninteresting. And they cost a lot of money. But your baby is the best baby!"
I like this metaphor because it also works literally :)
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