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Chat with MLBTR's Steve Adams: 11/10/23
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Bubba gump
1:40
Is there any feasible way for Mets to dip below luxury tax next year? Or is there too much salary + dead money for it to make sense?
Steve Adams
1:40
I don't see how they'd do that, and I don't think Cohen cares about doing so
Walter
1:41
Do the Guardians go for more pitching this off season since the elbow problems for Bieber and McKenzie might rear its self in 24?
Steve Adams
1:41
Cleveland hasn't signed a free agent starting pitcher to a Major League deal in something like 20 years. I don't have the exact timeline in front of me, but I realized it when doing my Top 50 picks last year. It's wild.
1:42
They develop pitchers so deftly that they don't even need to spend on them. Could obviously trade for someone, but I don't expect them to be active in the SP market, no
SP free agent market**
I also think there's a good chance they just trade Bieber
Pizzle
1:43
If you had to predict which 3 starting arms the Cardinals add this winter, who are they?  Do they even get 3?
Steve Adams
1:43
I put them on Snell (!!) and Nick Martinez in my picks for our Top 50, and I assume they'll trade for someone too. If you make me choose a trade candidate off the cuff, I have no idea. Let's say Clarke Schmidt. Sure.
John B
1:44
When you guys pick teams for your predictions do you factor a teams track record of success, or lack of, in signing free agents?
Steve Adams
1:46
As in their success in landing free agents in general? Sure. I remember a few years ago when Jeff Todd was still working with us, and we only did one consensus MLBTR pick per player, he really wanted to put the Twins on Josh Donaldson, and Tim wouldn't go for it because they'd never reeled in a FA of that caliber despite their best efforts. Whoops.

(Not a knock on Tim -- more some well-deserved props to Jeff. Miss you, buddy!)
MLBTR Super Fan
1:46
Does Tim cuss you all out on a consistent basis? He does right?
Steve Adams
1:46
DAILY.
Guy's a total jerk.
1:47
(Except the opposite; I basically couldn't ask for a better boss)
(He rules, in every sense of the word. I love working for him and consider him a good friend.)
Cards Fan
1:47
Is Clarke Schmidt even that good? He looks like another average 4 or 5 to me.
Steve Adams
1:48
If you think all three guys the Cardinals sign/acquire are going to be No. 1/2/3 starters, you're probably setting yourself up for disappointment.
DABNEY FROM MALCOLM IN THE MIDDLE
1:48
An average 4 or 5 is incredibly necessary for a team to be good
Steve Adams
1:48
Yup. A boring fourth starter might not excite fans, but good teams have them.
Big Lar
1:50
do you think that Travis D'Arnaud could get traded for a starting pitcher?  AA has done interesting deals like this before.
Steve Adams
1:50
I think the Braves love TDA and plan to hang onto him
pete
1:50
What fa pitchers will the reds be looking to sign?
Steve Adams
1:52
I don't think they'll go to the $100MM level (they should, but they won't). Anyone below that seems reasonably plausible to me. E-Rod, Giolito, Gray. I also think they could just say "screw the free agent market, we've had good success developing hitters recently," and bet on that ability by leveraging some of their young bats in trades for SPs
Dana brown
1:52
I said I wanted a high upside cheap option to add to the starting rotation. Does that sound like soroka?
Steve Adams
1:53
I don't know how much upside is realistically left in Soroka after all the injuries, which is sad to say. Super talented guy, but there's no reasonable way you can bank on him for any volume of innings.
Christian
1:54
With Dipoto stating he wants the Mariners lineup to strike out less, who do you see them targeting in FA/trade (besides Ohtani)?
Steve Adams
1:54
It'll probably be more in trade than FA. Tim Dierkes recently pointed this out: Dipoto has never signed a free-agent hitter to a multi-year deal with the Mariners
1:55
And the biggest FA hitter he's signed was AJ Pollock's $7MM deal.
Could still be in on some high-contact, one-year FA types (Justin Turner, Michael Brantley, etc.) but I'd expect him to operate more on the trade front, as usual.
BenC
1:56
Which of the Mariners starting pitchers do you think are most likely to be dealt?
Steve Adams
1:58
Bryce Miller, Bryan Woo, Emerson Hancock. Everyone talks about Logan Gilbert, but so much of that seems to stem from the summer reports that the Cardinals tried to get him. Which... of course they did. He's very good, and he's controllable and young. But I don't think that makes him actually likely to be moved. A rotation of Castillo, Kirby, Gilbert up top and some combination of Miller/Woo/Hancock/Gonzales rounding it out is elite. And any of Woo/Miller/Hancock would still have plenty of trade value.
Jay
1:58
Alonso for Woo, Bryce Miller and France? Who says no?
Steve Adams
1:58
Seattle, and I don't think Alonso will actually be traded.
Castellini is cheap
1:59
Do you feel the Reds will upgrade their starting pitching or will they just stand pat and offer the same old excuses?
Steve Adams
2:00
They'll upgrade to an extent, but probably not to the extent fans want. And fans will have every right to be mad. That team should be aggressively looking for SP both in trades and free agency. I hope they get it. It's a really exciting core of young hitters they have, to say nothing of Greene/Lodolo/Abbott
dan
2:00
Chapman back to the Jays? or is it a certainty that he'll take off?
Steve Adams
2:01
I think he'll sign elsewhere but a reunion is hardly impossible or anything. I just don't know that they'll want to put down another Springer-sized contract
Kal
2:01
Bieber for Verdugo?
Steve Adams
2:01
Bieber has more value
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