JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/12/23

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Slapshot

12:30

That whole Carlos Correa saga was weird, wasn't it?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

It was

BREAKING: Carlos Correa physical reveals part of ankle is made of pretzels.

Questioner

12:31

How does zips treat someone like Dylan Carlson who had middling to below average defensive ratings in RF and then had good ratings in CF? Is zips buying the defensive value? Are you? It wouldn't be crazy to think he were more comfortable there after having played center almost full time coming up in the minors.

Dan Szymborski

12:31

ZiPS will use the real stats and then place a lower weight on stats implied from the other position

Like a 0 CF/0 RF is really unlikely

12:32

so if ZiPS has only limited data, it will take that something like -5 CF/5 RF

But the more real stats, the less of an effect that has

Dans cat

12:32

So no ZiPs today I presume? Who might we see next?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

A baseball team!

I don't announce until the graphic sneak peek appears on my twitter

Greg

12:32

When will the ZiPS preseason standing projections be released?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

The final ones usually on the day before or early in Opening Day

They'll be another run

Guest

12:32

How do you account for harper's time out in ZIPs? Is that a manual adjustment?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I don't, though ZiPS is aware of his past injuries

12:33

Specific time only comes into play when I'm doing team projections

PewPewPew

12:33

What’s the deal with the Hosmer signing and the Cubs? Doesn’t seem like he’d be a huge upgrade over whoever else they’d have lying around if Mervis doesn’t work out. Thanks.

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I don't particularly like it

Guest

12:33

Forgive me if this is the wrong forum. How do you fee

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I have set prices for projectdions and common things and hourly for "special" things

Phil

12:34

I am realizing I don't understand how contracts work for released players. I know that Eric Hosmer gets paid the minimum by the Cubs and the rest of his contract by the Padres. But let's say he gets bitten by a radioactive Juan Soto and puts up 8 WAR this year (humor me). Does he still have to keep signing one-year minimum contracts through 2025, or could he negotiate a new giant multi-year deal, and the Padres would be off the hook?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

His contract is still in effect

TomBruno23

12:35

I am going to try out vegan Quarter Pounder with cheese, want to come over for dinner? https://veryveganrecipes.com/vegan-mcdonalds-quarter-pounder-with-chee...

Dan Szymborski

12:35

No :)

TomBruno23

12:35

Anyone can play LF, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Not Hoskins or Hundley!

TomBruno23

12:35

Paul DeJong is made to pepper that The Green Monster. They are going to love him in Boston.

Mike

12:35

Hi Dan, big fan of your work. In an OBP league, who do you think will be the most valuable over the next four seasons: Trout, Machado, Betts or Harper? We have four studs coming off contracts in my home league.

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Machado

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:35

Too early to talk WBC? Japan always seems to do well, and this is their best team ever I think. That DR squad though...

Dan Szymborski

12:35

I'm still not sure who is participating and who isn't yet!

Snilram

12:35

Can you explain to me what the Marlins are doing like I'm 5?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

It's a variation of my Frank McCourt explainer

Paddy

12:37

Just want to say thank you for the ZiPS team projections! Really enjoy those write ups

Dan Szymborski

12:37

Glad you're enjoyng it!

12:37

The three major projections have Yoshida at a 140, 131, and 129 wRC+. If he’s this good of a hitter, why are people saying that redsox overpaid at 5/90?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I think people got a little upset when they saw the Steamer replacement level placeholder

Free Thinker

12:37

If bat speed data ever becomes public, how much will that affect hitter projections, if at all?

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