JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/12/24

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Tom

12:35

Seems to me like the entire NL West should retool until the Dodgers get less good

Burnes

12:35

What happens first? I am signed or another SP blockbuster trade.

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Signed

Thank you for the chat!

12:35

What about Stroman for Hoskins? Better fit for both sides?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

It's a better mediocre challenge trade I Think!

12:36

The year in review thing didn't specify how much time was spent on the team depth charts, right? Or was that labeled as something else?

Phillies

12:36

I keep hearing that the Phillies want to shake things up and could trade Bohm, but I'm not hearing what it is that they want to improve. A center fielder?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I don't expect the Phillies to be suepr active. I think you'll see mostly the same team

seth

12:37

can you add Zips 2026 and ZIPS 2027 to the auction calculator?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I could ask David

War2d2

12:37

The rumor is the Astros want Suzuki, Paredes, and Matt Shaw for Tucker. Am I being a typical meathead homer in thinking that would be a bad move on the Cubs’ part? I get that Tucker at his best is an MVP candidate, but that seems like you’re on the losing side when doing the combined WAR math on that, not even taking into account that Tucker is going to be a FA that ownership probably won’t pay for in a year. Leaving Shaw off the deal seems more equitable? Maybe?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I think ti's a lot for one year of Tucker

especially since Shaw's a candidate to be the replacement at 3B when you trade for Tucker!

Henry Dodger

12:39

Are the 2024 White Sox (most losses) or the 1962 Mets (worst winning percentage) the biggest MLB losers of all time? Or is it a glorious tie?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

I think the White Sox

becuase I don't think they ACTUALLY REALIZED THEY WERE TERRIBLE entering the seaosn

12:40

The Mets were an expansion team, so it wasn't a team they carefully assembled, and I doubt they had any expectations other than them being bad

Though I don't actually KNOW how they considered themselves back in 1962

Also Dan

12:40

Overall thoughts on the White Sox's return for Crochet?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

It's not crazy - Crochet comes with risk - but I'd be really disappionted to not come away with one of Mayer, Anthony, or Campbell

ZiPy

12:41

If ZiPs started to make AI rap music, what would it's rap name be?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Hey, I use suno and udio for the AI music!

12:42

and it IS fun to do

12:43

https://twitter.com/i/status/1771942269089620043

(That's a 1950s version of Baby Got Back)

12:43

Crochet at 7\191--two questions: 1. Does that include the first 2 years being arb years, and 2. How many innings per year is it projecting. Thanks!

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Oops, sorry, i misread, I thought it was IF he was a FA

It's 180 with arb years

12:44

Do you think WAR underestimates the value of starting pitchers? It seems that we are fairly often surprised by the size of SP contracts. Perhaps in giving relievers credit for their high leverage innings, WAR is devaluing the SP's contribution to creating those situations?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I don't think so - I continually update how it converts into moeny

Yeah Well Hiura Towel

12:44

Whaddya mean? My grandma just gave me a cool $765 mil

Jon G

12:44

How do you imagine the impact of a sequencing of deals for the Cubs would play out? Like, if they move forward with the Tucker thing, are they positively screwed on a Bellinger deal (i.e. have to eat significantly more than they would in a vacuum)? Or does taking an option away from, say, the Yankees help them out?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I'm just not sure they actually get Tucker whiel they still emplly Bellinger

Cakes+Kakes

12:45

"Dan Szymborski12:21I don't do FiWAR (fight WAR)" But what if ZiPs took into account for players who use Fight Milk?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Well, you need percentage of ability to fight like a crow

12:45

Pirates are supposedly willing to deal Jared Jones for hitting. Would Jones for Casas make more sense for everyone involved than the rumored Castillo for Casas deal?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I think this is more likely to be plausible

12:47

Now, this Mets/Grimace AI song might be the weirdest on eI made.

https://www.udio.com/songs/ezoMjuMPRhnTAJqKgMotSP?utm_source=clipboard...

David Stearns

12:49

Are the Mets the favorite for the nl east? What does zip project as a fair Alonso contract?

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