JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/7/24

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I think it depends on Mullins hammy

Ryan McKenna's been lousy, but if Mullins looks healthy, he MIGHT make the team so that Cowser or Hjerstad or something isn't sitting on the bench

12:38

Kjerstad

if he's not doing well, then you bring up the young guys and definitely bid farewell to mckenna

12:39

Now Kjerstad wouldn't be playing center HIMSEFL probably

patchwork fix of that type would likely involve moving Hays over, I think

12:40

(But it's more likely to be Cowser anyway)

Yeah Well Hiura Towel

12:40

Don't you hate pants?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

I do!

I mostly wear gym shorts around the house and I prefer shorts generally speaking until you get down to like 55 degrees

glt4dc

12:40

How good would a team have to be to have a 50.1% preseason odds (better than the field) of winning the World Series? The Braves have a 24.5% shot, so who would they have to add to the current roster to improve their chances?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

IIRC, I've done this before and I had a true talent 130 win team

Kyle

12:41

If you were in an empty room for 24 hours with just a stack of papers and some pens, how many baseball players could you name?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Oh dear god, a ton

I don't know how many, but I'd probably not be out by the time I was done writing

But fewer than 20 years ago

My memory just isn't quite as encyclopedic at 45 as it was at 25

12:42

It's still pretty good, but I lose names a lot more now

and I call players by the first name of their father/cousin or another player with the same name too often

12:43

It took me a few years to stop referring to Cody Bellinger as Clay after he debuted

and I've called both Austin and Andrew Romine Kevin occasionally

It's sad, but it's the natural aging process

gbs42

12:44

Everything else being equal, would triple slash lines of .250/.350/.450 and .300/.350/.450 have the same wRC+ ?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

MAYBE

it really depends on the mix

though note for people who don't do a lot in this

that the difference isn't just walks instead of hits; the first guy has more power than the second guy

GoBirds

12:45

a) Ryan O'Hearn is good now, Statcast backs up the results
b) Haha no that was obviously a fluke, there's no way he maintains that contact and quality of contact
c) It doesn't matter, Kjerstad is better anyway

KC Pain

12:45

Would you rather have Bieber or Hunter Brown the next 3 seasons?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Bieber (and assuming we're not talking money, signing in FA or whatever)

Eric

12:46

Saw that the betting markets have the A's at o/u 57 wins. Do you know what percentile projection they would have to sink to to actually hit that under?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

In ZiPS, it was their 30th percentile projection

pre-spring

TomBruno23

12:46

Going down to Meatball Ron's state once again to spend a week in Miramar Beach with the family for Spring Break. Looking to take in NJCAA #16 Northwest Florida State v #5 Pensacola State on March 18th. Any draft prospects you want me to keep an eye out for in my scouting notebook :)