JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/28/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:16

Swanson I'm still cautiously hopeful. Votto, well, I'm writing a piece on THAT

Mick Donfort

12:16

your opinion on the new defensive WAR changes?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I think it's an improvement.

While I can't share everything we talk about in private, I don't think Ben (I think it was Ben) won't mind if I mention his joke that "now we have to call it penultimate zone rating."

Adam

12:17

Which retired pitcher 40 or older do you think would be most likely to throw 6 shutout innings if called upon to start a game tomorrow?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Buehrle

Brandon

12:20

Are the 2022 Sox just the 2021 Twins or do you think they'll turn it around?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I think it's generally too soon to panic

Kolbe

12:20

Why not just keep the "juiced" ball and push back fences. Should increase babip and encourage more contact, also encourage more speed in the game.

Dan Szymborski

12:20

Problem is nobody can even get real info on WHAT balls we're ACTUALLy using at any given time

Kevin

12:20

Any thoughts as to why Sandy Alcantara isn't generating more strikeouts with his filthy stuff?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

This question has perplexed me.

Trey

12:21

Do you play WARdle?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I do, but not every day.

Guest

12:21

Most impressive start to the season: Gausman, Rodon or Pablo Lopez (pablo stan)?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

It's always going to be my Gauze!

Rockman

12:21

Any insights r.e. Mountcastle's slow start? Thinking he'll come around or does the data suggest no?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

While the data suggests better performance

Guys, the admonition about April is even MORE admonition-y since we started a week late.

Todd Bonzalez

12:22

Do you plan to repost verbatim the article that (I think) you wrote several years ago if the Reds repeat their 3-17 start?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/cincinnatis-playoff-odds-are-worse-than-th...

Too many different players!

Eddie Waitkus

12:23

What would you rather have: low Hard Hit % or high K %?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Depends

Galen

12:23

Could Nolan Gorman help the Cardinals? Or is that K rate too worrisome?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Yes. No.

12:24

It's the thing I warned people about with Bryant

back when he was a prospect

Don't get too upset about strikeout rate for a dude who is destroying the league

Gorman is slugging .800 with an OPS over 1.200. He's *incentivized* to be aggressive.

David

12:24

Dan is this actually the year for my Mariners? But like, actually for real this time?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I'm cautiously hopeful, though I still had the Astros a bit better at the start of the season

Perplexed

12:25

Matt Brash and Eduardo Rodriquez sitting as FAs staring at me with those puppy dog eyes, saying "Please sir, pick me up." Should I grab one/both? Rodriquez's schedule looks like a guantlet over the next 4-6 weeks. Brash can't keep it in the zone.

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I'm still stanning E-Rod

Mike Trout

12:25

Dan, I know it is early, but so far I am leading the AL in WAR, the majors in wRC+ and have the lowest K% of my career. Are you slightly nervous about your bust prediction for me or still pretty confident I'm coming down to earth this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I've made a multitude of projections and predictions over the years and quite a lot of them are wrong. I'm supposed to be wrong. If I got bothered by that at this point, I'm not doing my job very well. I don't have Biff Tannen's almanac.

I'm certainly not going to be upset if me being wrong results in something cool happening.

12:27

It's very unlikely that I reach 100 with perfect health. If I'm still going about my day happily in 2078, I'm not going to complain about that.

Todd Bonzalez

12:27

For incentive reasons, shouldn't fines and penalties go to causes that Teams DON'T support? Imagine for instance the money the Yankees sent to the league went to support Mustache Rights instead of Irma relief 🤣

Dan Szymborski

12:28

I'm all for that.

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