JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/15/22

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Kwanbelievable

12:33

zips seems down on Oscar Gonzalez with no projected seasons of >1 WAR in the next 3. Assuming zips is not impressed by the plate discipline? And if so, how many more PAs roughly of current performance would it take for zips to change its mind?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

Remember that the three years there are preseason!

Romorr

12:34

You hear how Bradish watch Burnes on TV, and moved over on the rubber? Since then, ERA is low 2s, though the sample is smallish. Trying to piece a rotation together for 2023, and wondering if he's earned a spot as of now.

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I actually was unaware of his movement on the rubber and did not notice it

brad !

12:34

since the Zack Wheeler Cy Young talks last year I've been wondering, how important is innings Pitched? How much volume makes up for a higher era.

Dan Szymborski

12:34

IP is important

Though it varies since writers are evaluating it

How much volume makes up for higher ERA is pretty much a WAR/RA9WAR question

TomBruno23

12:35

Perhaps you have done this and I cannot find it now...is there a ZIPS for Pujols had he stayed in STL after 2011?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Hang on

12:38

Oddball Herrera

12:38

Am I the only one tired of MLB messing with the rules and the ball every season? It is starting to feel like Calvinball. Maybe I just wasn’t as tuned in in the 90s and 00s but it doesn’t feel like the offensive environment has these wild swings, and I am starting to suspect MLB’s tinkering has generated a feedback loop

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I dont' think the problem is necessarily rules changes.

Offense in baseball is largely "solved" in that there's little style variation among the optimal route

12:39

The problem is when changes like the ball have no transparency, are somewhat arbitrary, and leaves the teams and players guessing what the equipment is like on a day-to-day basis

Homer

12:39

I beg to differ...three dimensions is very appealing

Nick Lodolo is getting me all hot around the collar...with his pitching skills. Are the Reds going to sniff .500 next year to give him some W support?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

A Boy Named Yu

12:40

What was your favorite Mario game growing up? Is it still your favorite?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

SMB3. Still is

Morbo

12:40

I've seen 3d strike zones on a few broadcasts but only on replays not live

Christian Colon for Men

12:41

Favorite ballplayer with a Q somewhere in his name?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

QUIZ

Frank Thomas the Tank Engine

12:41

Would the O's have won the AL Central?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Yes

Guest

12:41

Let's say Albert finishes with 698 or so homers but short of 700. IF he returned next year, does he have a chance to chase down Ruth?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

yes

12:42

Are you old enough to remember seeing Mark Belanger play? If so, how good did he look defensively?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

I'm a couple years too young

I was born in 1978 and my first really solid *specific* baseball memories are in 1983

12:43

I'm sure he was on the screen when I was 3 and my dad was watching games on the living TV in 1981 and I probably looked in his direction, but I have no recall

And I doubt he would have impressed defensively at that point

Guest

12:43

In your estimation, the 2021 Giants played to their ___ percentile and the 2022 Giants are playing to their ___ percentile

Dan Szymborski

12:44

>99th

I believe that in ZiPS they're somewhere 25th-30th

Sharps

12:44

In my lines of work I wish english teachers had emphasized the difference between active and passive voice and when to use each to best effect.

A Boy Named Yu

12:45

Whos' your favorite actor/actress who will be forever known to you as in one role? For me, it's the actor who played Ham Porter in "The Sandlot". He's a grown man now and I've seen him in some other things, but he will always be Hamilton Porter and my favorite.

Dan Szymborski

12:45

And that boy grew up to be...Randy Levine

henry cotto

12:45

Geno Suarez went from being perceived as an albatross contract to now looking like one of the better contracts in the league, yeah?

In a larger sense, do we tend to too-quickly dismiss the idea of players re-emerging and reaching their former baseline level of play after a year(s) long slump, even if there are extenuating circumstances (injury, defensive position switch, playing for the Reds)?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I keep yelling at people about this, with the recency

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