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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/17/26

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Dan Szymborski

12:47

I'm not sure he has the crazy defensive season that PCA needed

because if you don't have that, you have to hit like Aaron Judge

eandy

12:47

Who are the Browns of MLB?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Angels?

rgoule

12:47

JDP can realistically only make the Dodgers playoff roster as a replacement for Rushing given his call up timing. Its not even been a week but does that feel like a very real possibility?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

I think ti's very possible. The dodgers aren't going to have a lot of lefties in reserve and Rushing elbow has to be a question

12:49

I know they've ruled out catching, but it could affect him as a hitter and maybe even have long-term csonequences

12:50

Also: What do you call a multi-year contract to a Dodgers backup catcher?

A: A Feducciary responsibility

dodgersfansteve

12:50

I'd love to read an obit on the Giants season. Exhumation. Postmortem. Elegy. So please mark me down as a yea vote.

Domingo Ayala

12:50

Do you have any framework that you use to try to find breakouts?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

No, I try not to fall too much into template thinking. First, I'm not organized, and if you look for X, Y, and Z, specifically, all of a sudden you're focusing on the X, Y, and Z rather than what it means

SpiderTribe

12:51

Which would be funnier to witness? Mo Vaughn with 99 speed or Chandler Simpson with 99 power

Dan Szymborski

12:51

Vaughn of course

Have we forgotten the lessons of Clarence Beeftank already?

Reds Enjoyer

12:52

What are Elly's updated career projections? Is it fair to say he's on a hall of fame pace? Nearly 20 WAR through age 24...

Dan Szymborski

12:52

Right now, ZiPS has him in the 50-60 range

mlommler

12:52

BEEFTANK

Justin Krupp

12:52

Have you found any correlation or data in the first x number of at bats for a prospect (whether good or bad) where it is not indicative of their true talent? Like the first 100 at bats he was crushing and the league has now adjusted, or the first 100 at bats were putrid and he has adjusted or calmed down.

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I haven't found any value for that

12:53

It's one of those things where a small sample size is a small sample size, even if we want that particular small sample size to be meaningful

rgoule

12:53

If your the Dodgers, this feels like an off season to empty some of the farm for a young SS. Elly seems to be campaigning for it but is there a world where the Dodgers could put enough on the table for Witt to be in play?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Witt? No.

EDLC yes

Witt can be kept all the way to 2037 at a really good price. The Royals see him as their Ripken or their Trammell

12:54

Oops, accidentally deleted q eustion about what I'm playing

Trails in the Sky Second Chapter, naturally

swieker

12:54

Wow, SNL has done some good colon-related humor over the years. Didn't they also have a "Colon Blow" cereal commercial?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Yes

Just for me personally, SNL's strong point has always been their commercial/TV parodies

I'm not as crazy about their character-based skits

12:56

but their commercials, like Heroin AM or GE Big Boys or Old Glory Robot Insurance are great

drplantwrench

12:56

if the angels and stan kroenke go crazy this winter and sign a few big names (skubal, a japanese star, seiya) do their ZIPS projections improve enough to win the weak AL West?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

I'im actually doing something along those lines next week!
\

NashvilleSounds

12:58

If the Royals spend like the Ripken-years Orioles did, proportionate to the league, great for the Witt Era! They feel more likely to spend like that in raw dollars.

mlommler

12:58

If we're randomly giving improbable skills to players, I would love for Kyle Schwarber to be standing out in left and suddenly out of nowhere be an 80-grade defender for like, maybe a week.

Dan Szymborski

12:58

that would be cool

especially because if Schwarber became a great defensive player, he'll have a better Hall case

12:59

and I really want him to be a Hall of Famer!

I can't vote for him on his current trajectory and I REALLY WANT TO

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