JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/30/21

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/30/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:20

I'm not sure that this winter is the period to do it rather than next winter, but they're probably close enough that being aggressive in FA COULD get them close enough to be playoff-interesting

OddStats

12:20

Have you/anyone at FG done a study on the efficacy of resting young players in their prime? The Astros rested Carlos Correa 14 games this season to, in theory, "keep him fresh for October." The Astros went 5-9 in his absence (.357 win % vs .604 with him). Considering the trouble Houston is having clinching either a division or the #2 seed now, is there any study showing it makes more sense to "over" rest players like Correa? Is health really improved that much by resting prime players in their late 20s every couple weeks as to sacrifice 2-3 games in the standings?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I haven't looked specifically at this

Though I've done related things and not a relationship between fewer off days and worse late season playing time

I haven't specifically looked at young players and october

szymborski's big smelly butt

12:21

Hey can you guys see who we really are when we change our chat names?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

We can see IP addresses!

Trevor Story

12:21

Do I take a Semien make-good short deal, or do I get a big offer like 7/$200milliion?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I think Story's season was weak enough that he doesn't come near that

Even accounting that I think teams will be gun-shy until the CBA is agreed to

12:22

I can probably share this, but we've had our own internal talks about how to space this winter's content in light of the fact that we believe the offseason will be rather backloaded

Tiger Fan

12:22

Humor me - Tigers sign Chris Taylor to be a starting SS. Then they spend big on a SP like Guasman and a second SP like Heany. What else do they do to be a flawed, but legitimate, WC contender like Seattle or Toronto?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

They still need one or two serious bats

Erik

12:22

Would abolishing the trade deadline be a net positive in terms of pure fun for fans? Imagine if we saw a load of top talent move this week after teams got eliminated and then we could watch most of the best players in the league get at least a few more games.

Dan Szymborski

12:23

I think it would have negative results.

You dont' want postseasons decided by who is willing to give up something crazy the last weekend of the season

By having a trade deadline, you're essentially making everyone go to war with what they have and make the results for the last two months about the relative strengths of teams.

Larry

12:24

Hey Dan what's your favorite animal in the cervid family?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I don't really have a favorite deer

I don't known much about deer other than watch out for them driving on the highway in the fall at night and eating them.

12:25

One of my favorite memories of Galileo the cat is me and him stopping off at Arby's to get each of us a venison sandwich with cabernet-juniper sauce.

I ate 1.5, he ate 0.5.

Guest

12:25

Tell me what I have to look forward to as a Phillies fan

Dan Szymborski

12:25

You likely leave in a cheesesteak-inclusive or cheesesteak-adjacent zip code.

James

12:25

Fun fact(?) 1/3 of Scherzer’s ER this season have come from 2 games against the Padres.

TBD

12:26

Keston Hiura seems to be having "hitters block" this year. Have you ever experience a similar "writers block"? and if so, how did you over come it (if you have)?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Like most writers there are times that I have writers block!

One thing I do is put more work into other stuff.

Unlike most writers, I have a lot of data projects to play around with if the words aren't coming.

12:27

One exercise I like to do occasionally when I'm really stuck

Is generate three random words and either construct an argument around it, tell a story, or draw a picture.

12:28

For example, from 2013

12:29

The idea is to giving your brain a challenge that's out of your normal wheelhouse

Treat Urner

12:29

Which AL Wild Card match-up are you most rooting for from a fun perspective? Gotta be Jays-M's, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

That would be my fave

12:30

As an Orioles fan, seeing the Red Sox and Yankees sad is good aesthetics.

Frank Thomas the Tank Engine

12:30

Over/under date on when MLB and MLBPA agree to a new CBA (or one-year extension of the current CBA)?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I'm going to say 1/5

Joe

12:30

Do the Cubs try and trade Contreras and Hendricks to continue to go all in on a rebuild?

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