Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Rich
12:20
Should the Dodgers have cashed in on Puig, or do you think he's better than he's been playing the last year and change?
Dave Cameron
12:20
Both. I think he's better than this, but he's not going to be what he was a few years ago again, most likely.
Springer am Rand
12:21
Why is there such huge variation in what people around baseball consider a "fair" return in a hypothetical Trout trade? Jim Duquette, for example, suggests something as light as Matz and Conforto (with no extras), while others seem to think that any Mets offer (to keep the trade partner constant) would have to start with Syndergaard and Conforto and go up from there. What is your conception of a fair return?
Dave Cameron
12:22
In general, I think people are too focused on the one big name coming back, so they mention guys like Thor, Betts, etc... But reality is that teams trading for Trout need to keep those kinds of players to keep contending, so any deal will have to be based around a larger package of players rather than just my superstar for your star and some extras.
Meowmix
12:22
Are there any baseball writers that you think would be genuinely be a good GM?
Dave Cameron
12:23
Ben Lindbergh, perhaps. Might be a little too soft-spoken for some media markets, but bright, articulate, able to garner respect from various individuals pretty easily.
Jason
12:23
Where is the best place to find specific Statcast data?
Dave Cameron
12:24
BaseballSavant.MLB.com
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:24
In the ESPN piece reporting on the Strasburg 7/$175M extension, it references a "rolling opt-out clause after the third or fourth year of the contract" - what exactly does that mean? Does this opt-out manifest itself after either one of year 3 or year 4 of the contract depending on other factors?
Dave Cameron
12:24
It's just a different way of saying two opt-outs.
Ryan
12:25
At this point, does Dexter Fowler get a bigger contract this offseason than Carlos Gomez?
Dave Cameron
12:25
Probably. Gomez is looking at a one year deal until he proves he can hit again.
Ed
12:25
Are you moving to Oregon? Did I miss something?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Yes, the wife accepted a position at the cancer center in Bend,so we're moving this fall.
Benji
12:26
I understand RBI totals is a poor stat to evaluate an individual hitter as it relies on other players getting on base, but is there some sort of RBI w/RISP (or some sort of percentage) stat that reflects how (forgive me) "clutch" a hitter is in knocking in those runs when those opportunities arise?
Dave Cameron
12:27
RE24 is a good metric for giving you a hitter's total value in all situations, based on how well he produces runs given the opportunities he had. You don't want to ignore a guy who moves a guy from 1st to 3rd by just focusing on RISP, after all.
Phil
12:28
I keep reading that this Strasburg contract is a sign by the Nats to Harper that they will be "winners" for a long while, I guess in an attempt to convince him that they are the best team for him... but given the level of deferred money they keep throwing to keep payroll manageable and the ongoing MASN issue, there is no way they have $40M+ just sitting there for him next offseason, no? I see this as a clear sign they need to hedge for his guaranteed departure.
Dave Cameron
12:28
I think they know they have 0% chance of keeping him, so they're trying to acquire/keep the guys they can.
Scott
12:29
Way too early, but who do you think would win the NL MVP if the season ended today? Who should win?
Dave Cameron
12:29
Dexter Fowler, probably. I'd probably vote for Kershaw.
Kylo Ren
12:30
Do you have any good primers on swing %? I'm good with stuff like wRC+ and FIP and whatnot, I could use some more advanced understanding of things like swing or whiff % and I like looking at Brooks but don't really know what the hell I'm doing.
StrastyStras
12:31
What's your take on the Nats bullpen? They seem to be in troubles lately.
Dave Cameron
12:31
Dusty Baker needs to realize, real soon, that Shawn Kelley is his best reliever, not a mop-up guy.
If they just start using Kelley as their high-leverage relief ace, they'll be fine.
Jeff
12:32
Isn't a trade for Trout impossible to be a reality? A team would have to sacrifice so much to get Mike Trout, it would just leave them in a similar situation the Angels are currently in right?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Nope, that's a myth. There are a good number of teams that could trade for Trout without destroying their MLB talent pool.
Brad
12:34
If you are D.D and Epler offered you Trout for Betts, E-Rod, Devers, and Moncada do you do it?
Dave Cameron
12:34
I love Mookie, but yes, the present value of wins to the Red Sox is high enough that I'd make that deal.
Phil
12:35
While it seems likely that the Dodgers are the best fit for a Trout trade, and that Seager, Urias and a couple other good prospects would potentially be enough... am I wrong to think Friedman just wouldn't be interested in that? He seems to love his collection of potential and depth and even if pairing Trout and Kershaw would be historically unfair, I can't make my mind think its likely or possible.
Dave Cameron
12:35
Yeah, they're not going to trade Seager.
mtsw
12:36
Should we suspect Scott Boras knows something about the condition of Strasburg's elbow the Nationals do not if he was willing to sign the extension?
Dave Cameron
12:36
No. Boras works for Strasburg, not the other way around. He also just had Beltre re-sign with Texas, he did the Weaver deal with LAA, Gomez with Milwaukee. It's not unheard of for Boras clients to skip FA.
Ross
12:37
What do you think of the Mariners permanently converting Edwin Diaz to bullpen?
Dave Cameron
12:37
I know people will probably freak out about it, but if the change-up really isn't making any progress, this was inevitable.
Duderino
12:38
Trout trades are fun to think about, but considering that he's the only reason for Angels fans to go to the ballpark, trading him is not only a bad baseball decision, its a bad business decision. I'd give it a less than 1% chance of happening this year. Agree or disagree?
Dave Cameron
12:39
Disagree with the premise, but agree the Angels won't do it. The reality, though, is that people buy tickets to see winning teams, not star players on terrible ones.
EC
12:40
Could Nats be one of the teams marketing starters? Joe Ross, and to a much less extent Gio Gonzalez, seem like pretty good pieces.
Dave Cameron
12:40
Potentially, yes.
Oleg
12:41
With the two opt-outs, that Strasburg deal still seems to be pretty close to market-value, no? Even with the deferrals, he still gets those accelerated if he opts-out, right?
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