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Eric Longenhagen Chat: 6/28/18
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Eric A Longenhagen
3:12
I think athletes like that should be given more time and am more likely to buy into performance from those guys than I am one-year blips from below avg athletes like Aledmys Diaz. Think the power on contact will continue, the rest could be streaky, which is fine on the MIF.
Wes
3:12
If an expansion draft were held this winter, who would be the first selection? Assuming same rules at 97 and 92.
Eric A Longenhagen
3:14
Still McGriff
No, this is actually a great question and probably deserves an entire article
I think the first pick would be traded for a prospect, whoever it is
3:15
I'm gonna post the expansion draft rules (from wikipedia, so caveat drafteur) real quick so we can all think about this...
3:18
Procedures
Similar to the 1992 expansion draft, both expansion (Rays/Dbacks) teams selected 35 players. The draft was divided into three rounds. Each team would select 14 players in round 1, 14 players in round 2, and 7 players in round 3. Tampa Bay general manager Chuck LaMar and Arizona general manager Joe Garagiola, Jr. oversaw their teams' selections.

The Devil Rays and Diamondbacks could pick any player not on the protected lists of the 28 other teams, although no team could lose more than one player in a given round.
For the first round, teams may protect 15 players from the rosters of their entire organization—both their 40-man roster, plus all minor league affiliates.
In addition, players chosen in the last two amateur drafts were automatically protected, plus players who were 18 or younger when drafted and signed in 2015. These players are listed as notable exemptions. Note: This does not include international signings, in this edition.
Players who are free agents after the end of the 2017 season need not be protected.
3:19
There's no way to have a quick answer to it, but it's a fun question.
Brandon
3:19
Do the Mariners have a talent for developing/finding 45 RPs? Latest guy that looks useful is David McKay now in AAA, but they have like 2 of these poppers at every level now. Do they just invest more in guys like this because they're useful trade bait for Dipoto, or is this a real skill?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:20
I think it's a combination of effectively targetting guys who are that, to varying degrees of big league readiness) in the draft and via trade and also focus on them because the farm system doesn't have a whole lot else going on.
Schoop of Ice Cream
3:21
Jeff published his top hitting prospects yesterday, surprised to see Bichette above guys like Acuna and Soto. What do you make of that?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:22
I'd say it's important to note Jeff was writing from a fantasy baseball viewpoint
Bear
3:22
How much emphasis do you put on extreme tools in the prospect world? Hunter Wood, for example, had the largest vertical difference in the league between his fastball and curveball. Does doing something no one else does change your evaluation in any way?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:23
It does, especially when you're forced to use heuristics a lot when you're a pair of dudes covering all the prospects on Earth. When someone breaks a mold, it's good to know who they are.
Bo
3:23
The Braves seem inclined to trade Gohara... Would he alone be enough to pry Moustakas?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:25
I bet teams are salivating to buy low on a guy with one of the best lefty heaters in the bigs. Don't buy that ATL is dying to move that guy right now.
Mike
3:25
Royce lewis, alex kirilloff, brusdar have to be one of the best low minors prospect trios, right?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:25
Yes
Nick
3:25
I saw in your ESPN piece that you weren't sold on Jalen Miller yet. What do you think about some of the other Giants prospects like Heyward, Howard, and Quinn?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:26
Jacob Heyward (Jason's bro, power, corner, K's) late-blooming lotto ticket, probably not
Ryan Howard (SS in upper minors) yes, as a utility ugy
Quinn: Basically the same as Heyward, less twitchy, more raw power
ya boy
3:26
Mountcastle's walk rate seems to be climbing in a small sample so far.  How would that being sustainable affect his profile?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:26
Indeed
Benjamin
3:26
Taylor Trammell is ________
Eric A Longenhagen
3:27
Brandon Nimmo
Evan
3:27
Why has Diego Rincones not appeared on any prospect lists? He seems to perform well at a young age at every level he's been at
Eric A Longenhagen
3:27
5-9 corner guy with 4 raw, not adding any.
Go A's!
3:28
Better long term:  Loaisiga or Bieber?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:28
Bieber. Lo has the better peak, though
Moltar
3:29
is the Mets' player development as bad as it seems from the outside? Media reports on that front have not been glowing, basically describing it as a disorganized mess with no communication or consistency between any levels, leaving it to the major league staff to do basic instruction
Eric A Longenhagen
3:30
I think there are issues, yes. Especially with player dev and the way the pro department covers ground (as in, not enough) but also think the amateur side, especially internationally, has done a great job. It's a mix, like with most orgs.
3:31
Just a very public, easy to compare to the dominant Yankees, mix
Just a question
3:31
A couple weeks ago you mentioned Kevin Kramer as a prospect who has improved his FV. Certainly his production has jumped the last month. What are some of the scouting stuff that is driving your opinion? Is he a 2-3 WAR go at this point?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:32
Swing changer. Clearly had more lift last fall than he had previously and it was working for him. Might have enough hit/power combo now to profile at 2B/3B as something more than just a bench bat.
Your boy
3:33
What do you have on Ryan McKenna? What's his upside?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:34
Another swing changer (Baltimore) with a new leg kick since last I saw him. BABIP is so sky high that he's going to regress and defensively he's kind of a tweener, but this is much better.
.....
3:35
Any other big name besides Luciano that are connected to the Giants?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:35
Jairo Pomares, Cuban CF, 800k or so
so maybe not 'big'
but big enough that we know who he is
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