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FanGraphs 2020 Top 100 Prospects Chat
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Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:27
Who wrote the shot at Blake Snell in the Xavier Edwards blurb?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Me
Bollywood Bulk Bogan
12:27
Shane McClanahan needs to improve at  __________?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
He was in the reliever group toward the back but I just liked all the other guys better either because I thought they had a shot to prove me wrong and end up starting or because they're ready right now.
PM
12:28
Who were the players with the biggest discrepancy in rank between you and Kiley? And did you adjust the list to match your views more after he left?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
I considered moving maybe 6 guys on teams lists around but decided not to.
Jabroni
12:29
No Brady Singer in the top 120?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
command is great, stuff is just okay
cash
12:29
No Clarke Schmidt?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
he was the last cut
Jim Leyland Palmer
12:29
With the LAA list one of the few yet to come out, it was surprising to see Brandon Marsh so high. Can you elaborate a bit on your view of him going into 2020?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
I haven't looked at the article but I assume all the words, the scouting reports and explanations in there, right?
Swing looked different in the fall, i think there's more game power now
12:31
and he was a 50 on my list last year so this wasn't a leap
James
12:31
What are the "nutty right tail outcomes" for Tahnaj Thomas? Are there SP outcomes or mostly high leverage RP?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
Do the deGrom maze in reverse. At some point it looks like this, right? Just a really athletic, well-built guy with a really live arm. Tahnaj has thrown like 100 innings in his whole life and he's bumping 100 and starting to throw strikes.
Jeff
12:32
What's Brice Turang do that Aramis Ademan can't?!?! Hear my outrage!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
Ademan's exit velo data was disqualifying and he looks heavy in camp at the complex right now
Matt
12:33
Is today Fangraphs' biggest day of the year in terms of traffic?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
oh hell yes
this and trade deadline day
Jeff
12:34
I think they're both beasts but what separates a Matt Manning from Logan Gilbert?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
two ticks of velo
HK
12:34
Franco is a 8 contact 6 power bat while Lux is a 7/7 with MLB experience, and has better pitch selection according to THE BOARD.
Are difference in age and defense enough to make a full grade difference between these two? Or is Wander's bat really that better than Lux's?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Yes, Lux might be a LF because of his yips and Wander Franco might be the messiah
Mitchy TwoBags
12:35
How close is Bryan Mata to top 100? What about Noah Song with a waiver?
Eric A Longenhagen
Mickey
12:36
I’ve been impressed how you have added EV data to your hitter analysis. I’m curious though how much weight are you giving to Spin Rate data? I’ll give the example of MacKenzie Gore.

In Gore’s case if I looked for guys within 100 RPM in each direction of his FB and Breaker combo. A sampling is Shoemaker, Margevicius, Plesac, Lopez, Bailey. It is hard to find elite success in that range. Am I too cynical to write off a high ceiling on his spin rate alone?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:36
yeah if people wanna see spin rates and exit velos for everyone, they're here: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2020-prospect-list/scout...
12:38
Gore is spin-efficient, the curveball has good movement and hitters struggle with it. It set off an alarm when we first learned what the spin rate was like two years ago, but those concerns were allayed pretty quickly.
Soto Popinski
12:39
I saw some hinting at problems with Pirates dev. of hitting prospects. Any specifics as to what stifled Hayes/Cruz? Something to do with approach or expectations of ABs?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
raw power > game power for several years. Look at Hayes' avg exit velo and look at his power production. The guy hits the ball rally hard but doesn't slug, same with Swaggerty.
TP
12:40
How did Kiley’s departure impact the development of the list and the final product?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
I wrote everything and am exhausted
Dave
12:41
Will Fangraphs be hiring another prospect writer to help you out with Kiley departing?  Cause you guys have written so much, it would seem you'll need the help going forward if you're to maintain this amount of detail
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
Great question. Many people have reached out and asked something similar. It doesn't make sense to pause what I'm doing to hire someone and try to get them up to speed with the infrastructure while lists and draft stuff is in full swing. We'll discuss the possibility of a second person or narrowing my scope sometime during the summer.
Ryan E
12:43
Any info on Nats international prospects Andry Lara? Extremely young still but just curious, haven't heard a ton of information yet.
Eric A Longenhagen
Chris
12:43
Odds Julio Rodriguez is number 1 next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
probably very low. he's a corner guy
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