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FanGraphs 2022 Top 100 Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
Pos
1:38
Who is the prospect you left off the list that industry sources were most passionately positive about?
Kevin Goldstein
1:38
If the majority of the industry was passionate about a player, that player would have made the list.
Ben Hessler
1:40
Follow up question to the question with the Cody Morris example. At what age do you switch from a prospect with potential to a player that gets pats on the back for being a "Late Bloomer"?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:40
I just view them all the same. There are 27-year-olds on The Board. Julian Merryweather was damn near 30, but he had been hurt a ton and stuck in the minors forever, so he was still rookie eligible. I'm not going to ignore a guy throwing 97 with plus secondary stuff just because he has a receding hairline, you guys should know about him.
ugotwilcocksed
1:40
Why so low on Cade Cavalli? Very low mileage on his arm in college and was a workhorse last year. I haven't heard delivery concerns from other outlets.
Tess Taruskin
1:40
His delivery is violent enough for his college injury track record to be of concern. Enough so that he seems more likely to end up in the 'pen.
Guest
1:41
Considering that all prospects from #33 to #100 and something have the same FV, the individual ranking placements come off as a bit subjective to me. With this in mind, who would subjectively choose a defensive minded C Korey Lee over George Valera? Valera hit .267 as a 20 yo in AA. It would seem that list factored the subjectively of outside evaluators a bit heavily on Valera considering his write up and stats don't convey the concern that outside parties may carry.
Kevin Goldstein
1:41
the non-bat value between a plus defensive catcher and a corner outfielder is quite large.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:42
His ability to tuck his hands in and barrel stuff on the inner third of the zone mitigates the lever length issues that plague other guys this size. Of course, the same was true of Lewis Brinson. It happens in his first two swings here: Kevin Alcantara, OF, Chicago Cubs - YouTube
1:43
to be his size and have this kind of looseness and capacity for movement is incredible. he's ranked where he is knowing he may bust, the ceiling is gigantic
Critical Cubs Fan
1:43
I see position player similarities between Kevin Alcantara and tall, lean HS pitchers like Volstad and Chaz Roe drafted due to the projection for velocity. KA hit lots of groundballs while repeating the Rk level, granted at 18. I’m skeptical? BtW <3 yous guys
Eric A Longenhagen
1:43
whoops^
Juan M
1:44
Is there really a big difference between Witt and Jrod?
Kevin Goldstein
1:44
They're both in the top four in all of baseball, they both have 65 grades on them. It's nothing to be upset about.
Jason
1:45
Do you have more confidence in Luis Matos or Marco Luciano cutting their K% down?
Tess Taruskin
1:45
I'm going Luciano on this one. Matos' Ks have always been low so there's not much room for them to keep getting lower. Luciano's spiked after his A+ promotion. Still plenty of time for him to adjust to those outside breaking balls, and his track record implies he will.
Guest
1:45
I have to imagine jobe is difficult to place with no pro data at all yet.  Is it safe to say this is a placeholder and next year he would be much higher or lower?
Kevin Goldstein
1:45
Yes, but you could say that about most teenagers on this list . . .
KevinT
1:46
Why does Raw power matter? Does it help teams evaluate home run capability regardless of ballpark? If so, is it an antiquated idea with todays technology?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:46
It can indicate who might benefit from a swing change to unlock more game power. The tech often helps feed into the grade but it doesn't exist at every baseball field in the world, so you need to have a visual means of assessing that tool.
Me
1:46
It seems like you weighed proximity to majors a little bit more this year than the past. Is that just me seeing things, or a more conscious decision?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:46
It was a conscious decision with regard to pitching.
Jacob
1:46
What differentiates Nolan Gorman and Jordan Walker? I feel like Gorman's profile and tools are very very similar.
Kevin Goldstein
1:46
Walker's power for his age is nothing short of special.
Ed H
1:47
How do you resolve serious descrepancies among the three of you on how/where to rank a player?
Kevin Goldstein
1:47
We talk it through like adults! Ok, sometimes I get a bit childish, but for the most part, like adults.
Actual Evan
1:47
Thanks for all the grades, friends. Which team lists should we expect next?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:47
The rest of SW Florida: Rays, Twins, Red Sox
Critical Cubs Fan
1:48
How does Jordan Wicks compare to Brady Singer out of college?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:48
Singer: sinker/slider
Wicks: 4sm/changeup

Both plus command guys
Muse-ee-all
1:49
Hi! Can I thoughts on where Parada, Susac might rank?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:49
not on the hondo, but their FVs on the draft board give you an idea of where they'd be on any org list:
Steve
1:49
% chance, Sam Bachman can start for the Angels?
Kevin Goldstein
1:49
18.72937%
barry b
1:50
with P bailey at 76 and J Bart at 113 you guys are telling us that expect bailey to run away with the C job at SF?
Kevin Goldstein
1:50
76 and 113 really isn't a very big gap in the grand scheme of things. It merely says Bailey is now the favorite to do so.
daeve
1:50
What will we need to see from Elly this year to crown him the next Oneil ?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:51
He'd need to reach Triple-A while staying at SS, right?
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