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FanGraphs 2026 Opening Day Chat
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Brian
5:09
Follow up on the bat speed ball speed stuff. Is it 80% of the expected energy transfer or 80% of the expected max perfect exit velo?  If the latter then .8*85*1.45=~99 ball speed which does not track. Something is wrong here. If energy transfer then there is a ^2 term in there and it would be something like .89*85*1.45=~110 which is still wrong. Dr. Nathan hear my prayer!
Ben Clemens
5:10
add in the speed from the pitch
johndarc
5:10
do you consider an IBB with a man on 1st, and an IBB with a man on 2nd, effectively the same thing?
Ben Clemens
5:10
no?
AvatarJon Becker
5:10
I don't. The outcome is the same but in the former you're advancing a runner, creating a forceplay when one already existed, etc
Ben Clemens
5:10
the approximation they give on savant is 1.23 * bat speed + .23 * pitch speed at home plate
Brian
5:11
Fair enough I was discounting the KE of the ball as insignificant compared to the bat. That is clearly wrong.
Ben Clemens
5:12
yeah I was surprised too. But I guess it's heavier than you think
MilwaukeeBeerJays
5:12
The Angles organizational philosophy is: be the 3rd best MLB team in Los Angeles.
Ben Clemens
5:12
Hunter Brown is looking great
Gust
5:13
Oh Murakami got one
Ben Clemens
5:14
great debut for him. Pitch recognition against a firebreathing dragon in Misiorowski, then get the homers against the hittable guys
Eric A Longenhagen
5:14
Howdy howdy
AvatarJon Becker
5:15
Hello Eric!
Eric A Longenhagen
5:15
Hey Jon
Ben Clemens
5:15
Hi Eric
bosoxforlife
5:15
Carlos Narvaez just used the ABS on an egregious miss by Dan Iossagna to fan Suarez.
AvatarJon Becker
5:15
Byron Buxton just hit a triple to left field (that he could've had standing), if anyone forgot he's really fast
Torpedo balls
5:16
Everyone is going yard! Except Judge and Woods.
Eric A Longenhagen
5:16
Got back from Cubs backfields like a half hour ago, threw on Phils/Rangers and Padres/Tigers
Welland Jackfish
5:18
McGonigle and Wetherholt both with opening day dingers. Eric do you root for these guys or do you have to maintain detachment?
Eric A Longenhagen
5:18
I'm rooting for myself to be accurate, but I tend to like the guys who outperform my projections.
Timbo
5:19
Don't think I have ever seen a 1B got hurt on a LD before (Roman just smoked it 110 off Stewart's forearm)
bosoxforlife
5:22
I don't care what the analytics say about Andrew Abbott, he can pitch his baseball.
Ben Clemens
5:22
He can. Also, the analytics like him! The yhad him as better than Freddy Peralta last year, and about as good as Dylan Cease (PitchingBot ERA, I didn't look at all of them)
Welland Jackfish
5:23
What happens on the backfields between opening day and the AZ complex league? have the other levels of minor leaguers not left yet?
Eric A Longenhagen
5:23
Triple-A has broken camp but Double-A thru Low-A has not. Today I watched the lower level Cubs and A's face off while some Cubs rehabbers did live BP on a third field.
Teams have split start times this week. Usual is 1pm. Heat has some teams move to 10-11am starts, while others moved to 6pm.
5:24
So I could do LAA/COL tonight, three simultaneous games, or TEX/KC
Ben Clemens
5:25
Wow, spectacular catch at the wall by Nathan Church. Not something I expected to see today.
AvatarJon Becker
5:25
Helluva catch by Nathan Church, not sure it would've been a homer but darn close
At minimum hits the very top of the wall
Ben Clemens
5:25
I know he's good defensively but I just have my eyes locked on Scott out there
AvatarJon Becker
5:25
Well, not gonna rob that one
5:26
If Aranda can hit lefties even a little bit that's a great player
bosoxforlife
5:26
But Church couldn't catch Aranda's
Ben Clemens
5:28
It's exciting seeing Junior Caminero improve his pitch recognition, he looks pretty sharp right now
Key Jangler
5:29
DINGLER DONG
MilwaukeeBeerJays
5:29
Dillon Dingler is both an amazing baseball name and a mildly pornographic name.
AvatarJon Becker
5:29
Helsley's velo was down a little bit in spring (as it often is) but he just pumped 102, so no concern there
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