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Fantasy Baseball Chat With Brad Johnson
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The Pain and the Smell
12:45
Is Alex Verdugo a good OF3 in a 5 outfielder roto dynasty?  Do you still see growth in the 24 year old's fantasy profile?
Brad Johnson
12:45
Yea, there's still some upside in there. He actually has a similar problem to Lowe in that he could be more valuable if he were to lift the ball a little more often.
Bryan
12:45
How much stock do you put in Yahoo fantasy mock grades?
Brad Johnson
12:46
None whatsoever.
12:47
I'll just say those grades are based on suspect projections. And they don't incorporate your playing style at all.
Dynasty
12:47
16 team dynasty that skews towards power- am I crazy for thinking about Trading Wander Franco? I’m just emerging from a rebuild and could trade him for several high quality SPs (my rotation is in shambles, could use the quality and the depth). I could acquire adames fairly inexpensivly to fill the void. I’m worried that w/o top of the line power and the depth of SS Franco won’t be quite worth the hype
Brad Johnson
12:50
The concept of trading Wander makes sense to me. I too think his fantasy output may prove a tad underwhelming relative to the hype. I'd be VERY hesitant to trade him primarily for pitchers though. That could backfire far too easily. I'd be looking more for like 3 players in the shape of Xander Bogaerts, Ketel Marte, and another above average third piece.
That last part could be a pitcher like Blake Snell.
Alex
12:51
Who is the next "Mike Trout?" of fantasy baseball?
Brad Johnson
12:52
We have several at the moment - Juan Soto is the best pure hitter since Albert Pujols (if not better). Acuna sure feels like a Trout to me. Vladito could be monstrous. And if Ohtani stays healthy, he's something beyond Trout.
12:53
I don't know why I think this about Tatis, but I haven't seen the same kinds of adjustments from him that we've seen from Soto, Acuna, and Guerrero.
So I expect a more typical decline-based aging curve from him.
12:54
He's just physically superior to most other players. It remains to be seen if he can dominate when that superiority ages away.
PTBNL
12:55
Speaking of first base, is Schwindel for real?  Will he end up at 1st for the Cubs?
Brad Johnson
12:55
I think he'll play regularly - at least early on.
There's indication that the league adjusted to him after his initial onslaught
I think he'll be a roughly league average hitter
12:57
The Cubs are built in such a way that he could post a modest .250/.305/.430 batting line and still pop 25 HR with 180 R+RBI.
Which is basically what you're trying to get out of Josh Bell many picks earlier.
12:58
So, a mix of optimism and pessimism
MetsFan22
12:58
With Jacob deGrom coming off his injury shortened season is he a gamble with my 1st pick?
Brad Johnson
12:58
Absolutely a gamble. He doesn't have a first round ADP currently - he's going 24th in NFBC.
12:59
It's a format where the participants are a little shy about injury risk
But if you're drafting mid-round, I think you can try to shoot for him in the 2nd if you're dead set on having him.
Mike
12:59
Where’s a good place to start for someone unfamiliar with fantasy? Sites, formats? What are some of the playing styles you mentioned earlier?
Brad Johnson
1:00
I recommend sticking with something simple on Yahoo. Their platform is user friendly and caters towards shallow formats.
Try to start with an 8- or 10-team league with some friends and acquaintances.
Conn
1:01
Other than moving the fantasy trade deadline up, what are other options to deter tanking?
Brad Johnson
1:02
I don't think that would deter tanking. One thing I do in a 24-team dynasty I commish is a flat lottery for the first year player draft (FYPD). The folks who made money in the last two seasons draft at the end in reverse order of earnings. The other ~16-18 teams have an even shot at first pick.
Adam
1:02
12 team keeper. Correa+Alonso a fair trade for Rutchman?
Brad Johnson
1:03
That's way too much for Rutschman imo.
I feel like one of those players and a Ryan Pressly-ish closer would be more appropriate. I'd need to know more about the exact settings.
Greg
1:04
What is Franco's ceiling next year and the next 3-5 years?
Brad Johnson
1:04
Since I naysayed a bit earlier, let's talk about the sunny outcomes.
1:05
So we have reason to doubt the power and speed from a fantasy perspective.
He hits the ball hard, especially for a player his age, but most of that hard contact is on the ground.
1:06
Historically, he hasn't attempted many steals, and he hasn't been successful when he does.
Where he could stand out is batting average. He has batting champ upside.
1:07
I think we want to see 20 HR, 10 SB, and a .300 average this season. Looking a few years down the line, I see him as a peak Jean Segura type with fewer swipes. As he grows into his physical prime, I suspect he'll generate more lift and HR as a result.
Guest
1:08
I've run the numbers and if you only get 250-300 AB's from Buxton and use a bench player like Baddoo, you get a similar stat line for 162 GP to Arozarema at a huge discount.
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