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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat – 6/3/25
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Eli
1:45
In prior chats there's been discussion of managers who may be hall-worthy - any current execs (other than Theo) who you think may be enshrinement worthy? Cashman drives me (and other "Crankee" fans) crazy but given his resume would you think he has a chance?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:47
Cashman, Friedman, and Dombrowski are all Hall-bound at some point. And I like Stearns' chances given his current setup in Queens.
John
1:48
RE your QS and majority being under 2.00.  Do you have a link to that article?  I tried looking, but no luck.  Thank you
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:48
This is the last time I wrote about QS as length https://www.si.com/mlb/2014/10/23/quality-start-john-lowe-statistics
1:49
"Back to what we'll call the 4.50 case — by which I mean exactly six innings and three earned runs. A few years ago, it inspired me to dig deep into the concept of quality starts. What its critics don't realize is how rarely the 4.50 case occurs; from 1950-2010 (the span I used when I wrote my piece in 2011, given that RetroSheet data only went back so far), it accounted for 5.9 percent of quality starts and just 3.0 percent of all starts. In 2014, it accounted for 8.5 percent of quality starts and just 4.6 percent of all starts..."
..."What's more, there's a massive gulf in collective performance between pitchers who put up quality starts versus those who don't; generally, the former group has an ERA a bit below 2.00, the latter above 7.00. In 2014, the split was a 1.88 ERA for those pitching quality starts, 6.97 for the rest. That's actually very similar to the performance of all pitchers in wins (1.82 this year) and losses (7.33)."
1:50
we're in a higher-scoring environment now and the rate of QS has gone down but I'd bet the trends hold reasonably well. Might be worth a follow-up piece, hmmm.
Rico Petrocelli
1:51
I've never actually heard of him. Got any details?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:52
Two-time All-Star, helped the Red Sox to the 1967 and '75 World Series, huge 40-homer, 10.0 bWAR season in 1969 would have won MVP in some years but was unjustly ignored
1:53
If we had useful defensive value metrics back then, maybe things would have turned out better for him. As it was, a very popular guy in Boston.
drplantwrench
1:54
is Jo Adell back for reall??
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:55
He's always had huge power and sometimes it shows up in games, but he's currently sporting a .283 OBP and a 99 wRC+, so I'm pretty resigned to the fact that this is who he is.
1:56
Damn it was good to see Trout come back and homer though, huh?
1:57
He hit that one to Portland
1:58
whoa, look at the time! Thanks for stopping by, it's been great. See you next week!
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