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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 2/17/17
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Jeff Sullivan
9:55
Raising the zone, of course, wouldn't make the game *faster*, but it would create more action and improve the tempo, which is the more important element
9:56
Maybe that comes with a push to finally get the freaking strike zone automated
Johnny Jackson
9:57
Is there a way for me to see how many WAR a player was worth over a specific amount of time? For example, to look up Trout's WAR for May through June?
Jeff Sullivan
9:57
I'm afraid not. You can definitely see WAR over month splits -- look at the team splits pages -- but you can't see WAR over specific date windows, like from 5/13 to 6/22
9:58
I'd guess that has something to do with UZR not being able to be calculated like that
Outta my way, Gyorkass
9:59
Dave Cameron is publishing his best/worst transactions of the offseason list, but what is your pick for best and worst transactions?
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
Best for me would probably be Bautista or Thames
10:00
Worst, I'm not sure. Desmond was super weird. The Mariners acquiring Yovani Gallardo on purpose looks strange. No clear idea on why the Rockies wasted money on Mike Dunn
ResumeMan
10:00
When people do projections for the upcoming year and need things like Linear Weights to do runs-created calcs, do you use last year's LWs or generate new, projected ones based on the projected hits, HR, outs, etc.?
Jeff Sullivan
10:01
I don't actually know the answer to this, but the weightings are very consistent year-to-year http://www.fangraphs.com/guts.aspx?type=cn
So on the public side, I doubt you'd notice either way
David
10:01
Any advice for a first timer going to Spring Training games in Arizona this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:01
Sit in the god damn shade
SIT IN THE GOD DAMN SHADE
Darryl
10:02
Carrera/Upton is bad. Prove me wrong.
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
The last two years, they've averaged a combined 1.7 WAR/600. They're not so much bad as they are not good
Pegleg
10:03
Do you agree with Cameron that the best role for Glasnow this year is in the bullpen?
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
I don't agree with that, but I do agree that the bullpen is a very likely destination for him down the road. I will be very interested to see if the Pirates are able to make him more mechanically consistent
To repeat something from yesterday: Carter Capps' delivery gives his fastball an extra perceived 3.6 miles per hour. Glasnow comes in second in all of baseball, at +3.0. That's crazy! And he could probably stand to shorten up
Guest
10:04
Will Harper, Machado, and Arenado all end up on different teams when they hit free agency?
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
Harper, yes, Arenado, yes, Machado, I'm not quite sure. I assume yes, but the Orioles kind of need him
Noah
10:05
Do you think Miguel Sano can stick at 3B?
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
For a few years
Steve
10:06
Joe Poz and Mike Schur came up with an idea to genuinely speed things up -- relief pitchers don't get warm up tosses on the mound, unless they're coming for an injury replacement. Could shave five or six minutes per game easily, right?
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
I think the players would push back if you said no more warm-up throws. Would be easier to cut that down from eight to, say, three or four
Pitchers are sensitive to differences between game and bullpen mounds. You have to give them *something*
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:07
Ilitch was a treasure to the Detroit community for sure, and he's an owner I am sad to see go, but him running the team in "win-now" mode for as long as he did is going to lead to one hell of a rebuilding phase, yeah?
Jeff Sullivan
10:08
On the other hand, the Tigers have had two sub-.500 seasons out of the last 11. Four first-place finishes, four more second-place finishes. They've been consistently competitive, and they still haven't fallen off the cliff. It's something they will have to reckon with, but they've stayed OK for a while
10:10
And don't underestimate how much they were already able to help themselves by selling in 2015 alone. Norris! Boyd! Jones! Fulmer!
Bummer about trading Cessa, Green, Suarez, Ray, Travis...
Pennsy
10:10
Does Ryan Zimmerman finish the season starting for the Nationals?
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
Starting some of the time
D
10:10
With the Dodgers current starting situation, could you see the Dodgers having more than a 5 man rotation? To give rich hill/urias/ryu/McCarthy more rest since they're all coming off injuries/fragile, or on an innings limit?
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
I think you'll just see a lot of shuffling. Some skipped starts. But still the general skeleton of a five-man staff
D
10:12
Do you think the Dodgers make some kind of move before opening day to clear up their insanely crowded roster? Maybe move a pitcher who looks good to a team that loses a pitcher to injury?
Jeff Sullivan
10:13
I'm going to be honest with you -- I don't have a full understanding of the Dodgers roster, and which players do or don't have options. It certainly *feels* super crowded. And players do emerge from every spring hurt. A Dodgers injury or two would clear things up. And they could also definitely ship a player or two elsewhere to fill another injury void. I wouldn't be shocked to see Kazmir somewhere else in a month
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
10:14
Mike Trout asks you out for a beer and to talk baseball. You're overly excited, dress nicely, and you put on that special cologne. When you get to the bar, you also notice that Mike Trout brought along Chone Foggins. Do you stay until they want to leave or do you make an excuse to leave early?
Jeff Sullivan
10:14
I bet I could have a better and deeper conversation with Figgins than I could with Trout
Figgins is older, and he doesn't have anything to lose anymore, and he went through some real shit. What's Trout have to say? What's Trout going to be *willing* to say? Figgins, that's a guy with a story
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:15
Steamer has Eric Thames pegged for a .364 wOBA season with 30 bombs. MIL will have to be ecstatic if they get that kind of production for even one season, right?
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