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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/2/18
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Jeff Sullivan
9:56
I think Bird can be better than that. The Yankees would be happy with a 122 wRC+, don't get me wrong, but he could push 140 with health and development
Bird has the skills to be outstanding
toki
9:56
What can we expect out of David Price this year?  That elbow scares me more than my mother in law.
Jeff Sullivan
9:57
I feel like this comes up every week, but anyway, everyone insists the elbow is fine. The elbow probably feels like it's fine. I'm also going to be forever concerned. I know there are worlds in which David Price turns in an outstanding and full 2018 season. There are many other future worlds in which that doesn't happen
ChatzMcGee
9:57
Should the Sens have traded Karlsson?
Jeff Sullivan
9:58
This is the stuff that gets me thinking about baseball comps, like Baltimore and Machado
It's really, really easy to say, well, the Orioles are going nowhere, so they should cash in their best player before he leaves
But on the other hand, that sucks
Losing your best player sucks!
John
9:59
Shouldn’t the Rays just sign Joey Bats already? This relationship feels inevitable. They’ve been connected since last offseason, indications are they’re still interested in adding another RH bat even after getting Cron and Gomez, their DH VS LHP right now would be, like, Brad Miller, I guess, and Bautista lives in Tampa and reportedly wants to play for them. Assuming, of course, he’d be willing to accept a minor-league deal with a ST invite at this point, which he really should be. He needs to get into some spring training games and not look toast, so while I know he’s a super proud guy and all, he’s not doing himself any favors if he’s still holding out for an MLB deal less than four weeks from Opening Day
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
I don't know what Bautista wants, and I don't know what the Rays might be able to offer, but, yes, this is an acquisition I'd like to see. Who knows what Bautista has left, but the Rays have lost a lot of their thump. Might as well give Bautista a few months, since enough of their other players are sufficiently versatile
MD
10:02
Brandon Drury's ISO hints at some untapped power potential... 35+ doubles last year is intriguing. What could get him there?
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
Pulling the ball
Derek in Little Rock
10:03
The only teams in the American League to finish over .500 in 2017 were those that made the playoffs.  Particularly with the talk of super teams this spring, do you see that trend continuing?  If the gap between great and awful is widening, do you foresee four 100-win teams for the first time ever?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
Too many things to go wrong. Two of the three AL divisions are too solid. Only three AL teams appear legitimately bad
Zach
10:04
while he's still quite a ways away, do you think Aaron Judge should be looking for a pre FA extension due to his age? he turns 26 next month
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
I'd think this is something for Judge to consider four or eight months from now, instead of right at this moment. If Judge can manage anything remotely close to a repeat performance, he'd stand to sign something incredible
10:05
For now, the Yankees could argue Judge will never do what he did again. But Judge has the talent to be exceptional. He should prove it before he commits
Yogi
10:05
Is Greg Bird the next Freddie Freeman?
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
When Freddie Freeman was Greg Bird's age, he'd already been worth 11 WAR
THE Average Sports Fan
10:08
Labor question:  I have always wondered why teams don't strike at the end of the year.  It would seem to me that MLBPA would have maximum leverage if they walked out September 1.  Players would have received most of their money for the season already.  Owners would be forced to deal quickly to preserve the post season (I assume the most profitable time of the year).  And in reality over half the players really don't have much to play for at that point of the season.  What am I misssing?
Jeff Sullivan
Matt Klentak
10:09
Boras keeps asking for more years with opt outs for Arrietta... I told him there is a 0% chance of Arrietta ever opting out of a deal. Am I right to hold at 3 fixed years?
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
The Phillies could afford a fourth year. And that's when Santana's money will be up. I'm not saying I'd be comfortable giving Arrieta four guaranteed years, and if I were the Phillies I might strongly consider *no* opt-outs
10:11
But because of the Phillies' payroll situation, I do feel like they're the favorites. They have the most money to throw around, and they have to be the least careful with it
Cody F. Schmidt
10:11
Barring major injuries to Houston’s middle infield, what will it take for the Angels to end up on top of the AL west instead of the Astros?
Jeff Sullivan
10:12
General rotation health, bullpen repeat, strong offensive season from Ohtani
And you'd almost certainly need some BaseRuns luck, in two directions
Mr. Freeze
10:13
Who are you targeting if you're the Braves' GM and have intentions to compete in 2019? Shouldn't they be looking to add via trade or FA some now?
Jeff Sullivan
10:13
If I were the Braves, I'd want Domingo Santana. Granted, if I were the Brewers, I'd also want Domingo Santana
10:14
I sort of understand leaving the pitching alone; the Braves want to give another season to the young guys so that they might emerge. But a young corner outfielder would be terrific
Matt Klentak
10:15
at what price should any of Cobb,Lynn, Arrietta accept a 1 year deal? 15M? 25M?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
Arrieta: $30m
Cobb: $25m
Lynn: $20m
toki
10:15
Can Thyago Vieira emerge as a lights out closer for the White Sox?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
Tommy Kahnle just turned good out of nowhere, so, sure
MK
10:16
Do you think Nats not signing Arrieta is directly related to re-signing Harper next year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
No, I think it's directly related to Jake Arrieta and Scott Boras wanting more than is warranted
When I've asked around what I've been told is that the asking price is still way, way higher than anyone finds comfortable
Pirate Captain
10:17
assuming austin meadows starts at year in pittsburgh, who finishes with more WAR at the end of the season, Cutch or Meadows?
Jeff Sullivan
10:17
McCutchen
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