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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/20/18
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Jeff Sullivan
10:00
Hand gets more strikeouts than Iglesias does, but Iglesias would have a lot of trade value, yes. Not enough to get a top-25 prospect, but maybe a 26-50 prospect. Definitely a 51-75 prospect
As the Hand trade goes, remember that Cimber is also valuable, and Mejia has seen his stock drop
ChiSox2020
10:00
Who are the top bullpen options you think are being auctioned off now?
Jeff Sullivan
10:01
Britton is the biggest name, although I think there's a decent chance he's still kind of broken
Outside chance Felipe Vazquez becomes available
10:02
Kirby Yates, Craig Stammen, Keone Kela, Joakim Soria, Jeurys Familia, Seung Hwan Oh...
greg
10:03
Matt Harvey has been ok, but is there really any team that would have use for him?  Are there any teams who view their race as tight enough to need to go out of there way to upgrade the 5th spot in their rotation through this particular trade?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
The A's are one team that could use that kind of short-term upgrade, but that doesn't mean they'd think it would be worth it, if they perceive Harvey as a disruption
10:04
The Brewers' rotation is pretty dang thin
Lilith
10:04
What could the Reds realistically expect in return for Harvey?
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
A pitcher in High-A who touches 99 but issues a few too many walks
Scotty Kingery
10:07
Tell me I'm going to be ok??
Jeff Sullivan
10:07
It's funny -- Kingery had an almost identical stretch when he was first promoted to Double-A
Looked a lot better the second time around, then, of course, he was successful the next level up
10:08
I think there are some legitimate questions about Kingery's approach. Even in the minors, his walk and strikeout numbers weren't all that pretty
Reminds me some of Dustin Fowler
10:09
With both these guys, I think they're definitely going to improve, but their offensive ceilings will likely always be limited by the fact that they just have approaches you can exploit
10:10
Fowler right now has the higher average exit velocity, but Kingery has, barely, reached the higher peak EV
Colorado Guy
10:12
So some chat, including Ken Rosenthal, around the Rockies sending BRodgers in a package to Mets for one of their aces. Thoughts? I realize the Rockies won't do it because they're the Rockies, but would you?
Jeff Sullivan
10:12
I understand the argument, but I still lean toward no, because I think the difference between the Rockies and the Dodgers is greater than, say, Jacob deGrom
10:13
And Rodgers should be part of the equation as soon as next year
At the same time, deGrom is extremely good, so if he were available for Rodgers and not all that much more, then I don't think it would be a *bad* move for Colorado
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe
10:14
Re: your conversation with Ben about Nick Markakis, what would happen if a pitcher just decided to slide step, or pause, or do something else that messed with Markakis' timing? Was Greg Maddux the only guy who could mess with his own timing as a pitcher and still have a solid result?
Jeff Sullivan
10:14
Yeah, it's funny how Markakis kind of opened himself up for trickery
10:15
But generally speaking pitchers don't know how to suddenly fold in new timing-disruption techniques. Some of them are so talented that it could work, but very few pitchers are Greg Maddux or Johnny Cueto
With Felix Hernandez, it took a lot of work to pick up a quick pitch. When you don't use your familiar delivery, weird things are more likely to happen
Mac Gwire
10:16
Who's your favorite reliever left to be traded with Hand gone?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
I want to see what's out there for Yates, because the numbers are great, but there are so many reasons to kind of side-eye him as an option
greg
10:17
When I read Eric's report on Yusniel Diaz, I immediately thought of Jesse Winker.  Fair?  Would that be a good outcome?
Jeff Sullivan
10:18
Winker has a much longer track record of drawing walks without striking out, and I think he has superior bat control. Winker is also a dreadful defensive outfielder. So, compared to Diaz, Winker is better in the box, and worse in a corner
Mountie Votto
10:18
The Reds absolutely should trade Scooter Gennett at some point (this or next year), right? There's so much 2B depth in the system, and they'd be paying him at peak value
Jeff Sullivan
10:19
Gennett should be traded, but it's probably more of an offseason thing. Not that much in-season demand for a second baseman, and teams still presumably want to see him prove himself for more time anyhow, even if that kind of seems unfair
Jared
10:20
Good morning Jeff! With the A's having the lowest payroll they have had in awhile, do you see them being active in free agency this offseason? or maybe use that to lock up guys like Chapman/Olson? Thanks
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
I don't think the A's are ever going to be that active in free agency, at least not among the best available players, and I would imagine part of the payroll drop is explained by them being phased out of revenue sharing
10:21
They will spend more than they're doing right now, and I would imagine they're foaming at the mouth to try to get Chapman locked up forever
Scott
10:22
Phillies, Braves, Nats. Who wins the NL East?
Jeff Sullivan
10:22
Now that Machado is officially not entering the picture, I'll say Braves by a couple games
mmddyyyy
10:24
Do buyouts count toward the luxury tax?
Jeff Sullivan
10:26
I believe so, yes
10:27
This is based on a few minutes of research, using Cot's Contracts
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