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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 12/11/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:28
It's others or 35+. Still not really any tools and Ka'ai Tom is similar, didn't make a list and didn't make the 40-man.
3:29
That was another conversation in the lobby last night: the various things that clubs do that tip their hands in terms of what/whom they value. Lots of little subtle hints that we pay close attention to.
GuyinGA
3:29
Hey Kiley, hope you are doing great. What prospects in GA are worth going to see this year? Next year? (Lets be greedy!)
AvatarKiley McDaniel
Hancock, Wilcox and Walker are the three big ones
they may all go in the top 10-15 picks but there isn't another clear top 2 rounder behind them yet
mamsk
3:30
Steele Walker, any kind of sneaky upside there?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:31
45 bat, 55 power, RF fit. could be a soft 50 that starts for a few years. Maybe Josh Reddick is best case?
Eminor3rd
3:31
Is your book going to be available for Kindle?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:31
Yes!
Ed
3:31
Better offensive profile, Jung or Baty?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:32
Baty could be 6 bat/power and is set up now with an MLB-type approach to do that. Jung has 55 raw but doesn't tap into it in games while also being 2 years older, but he can hit. Baty looks like a better upside bet at this point, Jung is safer bet.
Rangers Fan
3:32
Hi! Heard great things about Maximo Acosta, the new Rangers SS prospect. Will he rank highly when the new Rangers list comes out?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:33
Yep! His position on the J2 rankings is a good clue: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-international/summa...
Amateur
3:33
The Braves say the offer for Kris Bryant is overwhelming.  What would an overwhelming offer be for a 5-6 win player?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:34
Depends on if it's 1 year of control or 2. He won't get traded until that's known.
Jim Leyland Palmer
3:34
Do you think its a strong possibility for Riley Greene to have a 2020 akin to Kelenic's 2019? If so, are we looking at a 55FV / 60FV guy this time next year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:34
Possible! I'll say 25% chance.
Pumpsie
3:34
The amount of work you and Eric put in is staggering. Would a GM go wrong by firing all the scouts and using your information, or is the team data that much better? I can't imagine how it could be.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:35
They have more complete TrackMan data, which we'd love to have. Makes the granular stuff like trajectory of the season, adjustments, drilling down on pitch design, etc. easier and more detailed. We get the broad strokes of this sort of thing.
3:36
But if we had an extra analyst or two or three and had comprehensive MILB trackman data, we would be competitive with the clubs. We'll never get that data, so we will have trouble beating them.
Joba
3:36
Will Tampa Bay wait until the Super Two deadline in 2021 to call up Franco?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:36
That's a reasonable guess
Nils
3:37
Best thing you've eaten in SD so far?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:38
We've been to Juniper and Ivy every time we come out here and it was the best I've had it this week. Really solid small plates. Beef tartare and the yellowtail tostada stood out. Last night at Ironside, the lobster roll was very strong.
Joe
3:38
Can you paint a picture of what the Winter Meetings are like on a night like last night.  It was only 9pm west coast time, but is there still a bunch of socializing?  What are the "meetings" actually like?  Very formal, informal, do teams set-up meet-ups ahead of time?  Give us a glimpse
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:40
Teams generally hole up in their suites all day, then go to dinner/banquets, then go to the bar after that. So like 9 pm - Midnight is when you get to see your friends and make new ones and gossip and whatnot. During the day is lots of writers and job seekers milling around and news breakers floating around the lobby in the Baby Yoda egg glued to their phones.
bosoxguy
3:40
Thanks for your chat.  Always look forward to both of your very knowledgeable chats.  What's your opinion of the long term upside of Tyler Freeman??  Seems to be a lot like Steele Walker where they both hit and hit a lot (high contact but not high power).  Another that can be grouped into that is a player like Nick Madrigal.  But Madrigal gets more "star" recognition I feel than the others.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:40
Freeman is the less twitchy/athletic version of Madrigal
Sean
3:40
The Diamondbacks got absolutely lambasted  for packaging Touki to clear Bronson Arroyo's salary, a move very similar to the Angels trading Will Wilson to clear Cozart's salary yet the Angels aren't being criticized nearly as much. Why is there such a disconnect between the two trades?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:41
The Touki trade was after Arizona screwed up their budget by not anticipating the overage on a J2 signing and it came after a bunch of other head scratching moves
Matt
3:41
Are there any good books...etc. on baseball economics? Or Sports market in general? For example: Cole's contract is a $324M capital investment in the team. Players are the "means of production" for wins, but wins do not necessarily mean revenue, which make it odd economically. Not to mention, "fan" behavior is insanely irrational.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:42
I don't know if there's a good contemporary comprehensive baseball economics book. Seems like online analysis is where that exists?
3:43
and twitter is the place where you'll be told to seize the means of production and for some reason a season pass to WWE Raw
Armchair GM
3:43
When AJ Preller calls you at 3 am, what does he say?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:43
"I don't think he's related to Yoda, but I mean I guess he could be a clone of Yoda? Anyway, what moves should I make tomorrow?"
TP
3:44
Could a team trade for Kris Bryant for a package of PTBNLs,  with the PTBNLs conditional on the outcome of his grievance?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:44
possible but why do that when you can just wait a month or two
Tyler
3:45
Mariners doing anything else?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:45
always bet the over
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