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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 5/30/18
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:25
Mr. Fister
12:25
Walker Buehler looks like the real deal.  Does he go to the bullpen when Kershaw comes back to save innings for the stretch run or is LA too far back in the standings to play around like that?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:26
I'd try to be conservative with his usage so I can have that stuff late in the season if we're contending, or at least allow you to throw a full season and build stamina
Connor
12:26
Who are some candidates to fall because of signability concerns? Any way we see Kumar go to Vandy?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:27
Kumar and Mike Siani both have 3-4 slots where their price can be met in the 25-40 area and if they slide past there they're likely heading to school b/c there wont' be enough money left to give them. Vandy could also get Will Banfield if he doesn't go day one.
j
12:27
Thoughts on Garrett Whitlock? Know you saw him last week. Starter or reliever long-term? Also he had to leave the game after being hit with a comebacker and is on the DL. How bad did it look?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:28
Didn't look that bad, he pitched to another batter. Funky long arm action, low 90's, solid avg slurve he located well. Could be a 40 later with more performance, but that's about what I'd heard when he was in school.
12:29
Forgot how much New Level bangs
Owen
12:29
I went to my first MILB game last weekend. Saw Bo and Vladito tear the cover off the ball for the Fisher Cats and go back to back in the seventh. It was amazing. Also, Vladito has one of the thickest lower halfs I have seen on a 19 year old. Got a little more Prince Fielder potential than I realized. But what a sweet swing.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:29
People are usually surprised when they seem him physically in person. He's really big, guys.
Palardelphia
12:29
Why are mock drafts putting Alec Bohm over Nick Madrigal? Is it just the height?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:30
It's based on team-specific intel. The rankings and mock are completely separate, using different information. People always confuse this, which confuses me.
Kristen
12:31
TEX went for high-upside prepsters with their first few picks in last year's draft.  Given their systemic inability to develop pitching, could they change course and use their 1st pick on a more polished college pitcher like Hjelle or Gilbert who could advance quickly through the system?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:31
Sure sounds like they don't agree with you
Jason
12:32
Accidentally hit enter before I added a last little bit, but anyways, have seen you and Eric talking a bit more about stride length and similar in your prospect writeups when it comes to fastball effectiveness and was wondering how much of a difference it can make.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:32
Generally speaking, the shortest stride can take 2 mph off your fastball, longest stride can add 2-3 mph. For young pitcher examples, Faedo is really short, Glasnow is really long.
Sean
12:33
Kiley, any sense as to if the Tigers will continue their college heavy approach or if they will start to prioritize ceiling a bit more this year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:34
Sounds like they're targeting prep players with their second pick (Avila scouted Parker Meadows, they're on JT Ginn), there's a rumor they are trying to get the Mize bonus low enough to float Kelenic to their 2nd pick, but I doubt they can pull it off.
In part because Kelenic is seen as signable, so some team will just take him if he slides
Slurve
12:34
If trading draft picks were allowed, what would 1.1 fetch? Would you anticipate mostly  Picks, Prospects, or current MLB players?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:36
Well using a new feature on THE BOARD, Mize/Madrigal rank in the 30's on a prospect list. Generally speaking, the 35-45 guys (and AJ Puk, post TJ) in our published top 100 are right next to them. I think it would mostly be deals like that since it'll be a bad team that wants to rebuild but doesn't like the talent and wants to be able to pick multiple young players more their type.
Jared
12:36
If you were Oakland who would you be realistically hoping falls to you at 9? Are Swaggerty or Singer good fits?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:37
Sounds like Swaggerty will be there and hearing they will pass. I think that would be a mistake.
Alec Asher Wojciechowski
12:38
Corbin Martin is off to a great start to his first full season, what have you heard about him? Is he putting himself in 50 FV consideration?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:38
Moving up, not there yet
Brad
12:38
Luke Reynolds at Southern Miss was one of the top offensive performers in division I (leads NCAA in OBP and BBs, 5th in SLG, etc.). 23 year old junior due to transferring, but has also hit well in wood bat leagues. What else besides age holds him back from getting draft buzz? Defense? Bat speed? Mid-major competition?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:38
Some 1B risk, just okay contact/bat speed but we like him
Jo-Nathan
12:38
Did Vasil actually remove himself from the draft pool like Joe Boyle last year, or is he just telling teams not to draft him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:41
We're told he didn't do the paperwork move that others have done in the past to formally opt out, but he's asked MLB to be taken out and whether he actually is/isn't, teams have been told by MLB not to do it. The whole situation makes no sense, as Keith Law wrote about after it happened.
Alec Asher Wojciechowski
12:41
What do you mean when talking about trackman stars when it comes to hitters?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:41
Exit velo mostly. You can quantify other stuff like loft and whiff rates but you can do that almost as well with video/eyes
GraphsFan
12:41
Is there a prospect that you and Eric disagree upon greatly, i.e. a FV difference of 10+?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:41
No, we'd only disagree that much when we have different info, so we share the info and end up pretty close to the same in almost every case
Trevor
12:42
In the pre-season draft rankings you guys mentioned that some scouts thought Xavier Edwards was better than Brice Turang, but only his size was holding them back? With the less than a week away, would you say that more scouts are convinced that Edwards is the better player?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:42
Turang not hitting as expected and Edwards hitting better than expected ended up flipping that. I mean that was easier than Edwards figuring out how to get taller in a few months.
Bronx Bombers
12:43
Looking back at some of your org rankings, do you think you undervalued some MLB-ready players without huge ceilings? Ryan Yarbrough as an MLB contributor who wasn't in the Rays top-31, for example.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:45
I think we valued them more correctly than we/others have in the past. Yarbrough looks like a 40 rather than a high 35, which is a small difference. He has a 4.31 xFIP in relief and got around the below average breaking ball by throwing a cutter.
Teddy Franco
12:45
After Griffin Conine's Cape season, it seems scouting media has seriously knocked him for an uneven spring a bit too much. What do you think?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:46
He was awful early and much better lately. Given the Cape, I think the awful early with be mostly forgotten, but he is a worse hitter than he was on the Cape from a scouting perspective, so he should be knocked.
Cameron
12:46
I would take Jordan Groshans over Nolan Gorman and Xavier Edwards over Brice Turang. Is that far-fetched?
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