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Jeffrey Todd
2:38
Have to trust the talent. We shall see.
Thanks!
Negan
2:38
I keep asking but Conforto for Buxton seems like a match made in heaven
Jeffrey Todd
2:39
I guess I'm not really sure why. You can see the argument for those two being similarly valued in some ways, though then again you have to weigh Buxton's D/baserunning in setting his floor. And he still has the greater ceiling, IMO. So I think he's the better asset.
2:40
Also, these kinds of trades are fairly rare, in part b/c teams have better info on their own prospects. It's not impossible, but we rarely see similar classes of players (in this case, young, talented, semi-established OFers with approximately the same control) traded in challenge type of deals.
Slusser
2:40
Does Rich Hill get 4 years from anyone?
Jeffrey Todd
2:40
I'd bet on 3 at a bigger AAV.
Matt E
2:40
If the Angels aren't tearing down (which makes sense, because they'd be wasting Trout's prime years), how do they retool or just become competitive again?
Jeffrey Todd
2:40
I really don't know. It's a bind.
Spend more money?
Bork
2:41
Which team do you think will take a flyer on Eric Thames?
Jeffrey Todd
2:41
No idea, but fascinated to see his market. He is a true FA and only going into his age-30 season. Given what some of the other KBO hitters have managed to do in terms of translating success, there'll be real interest.
2:42
He has a nice K/BB ratio and huge power numbers in Korea, and obviously was viewed as a major leaguer early in his career.
Nick N
2:43
Has lack of high quality free agents be available as free agents this off season and Joey Votto's fine season suddenly made him a person of serious interest, despite his remaining contract still having quite a number of years to go?
Jeffrey Todd
2:44
Well, there are a good number of legit sluggers. The market mostly lacks for SPs. But I think Votto has to be a guy that some teams will ask about. Questions are: do Reds have any interest in making a deal? And is Votto willing to waive NTC, or will that just gum up any trade talks?
12 to 6
2:45
The Angels have about 40 mil to play with this offseason after considering arbitration raises and options being picked up. This is also considering the luxury tax threshold stays at 189 million
Jeffrey Todd
2:45
IIRC that doesn't include fudge room for league minimum guys and the other assorted expenses every team has.
2:46
To sign enough guys to reasonably expect a big change in fortunes, you're going to be pushing a lot of salary into future years, which just resets the whole original problem.
Rob S
2:46
Mike Trout to the Braves for Nick Markakis, Mallex Smith, Julio Teheran, and Dansby Swanson. Who hangs up?
Jeffrey Todd
2:46
LOL
John
2:46
Jeff you really are a phenomenal writer, thoroughly enjoyed reading your Vin Scully post, one of the best posts I've read on MLBTR
Jeffrey Todd
2:46
WHOA
2:47
Thanks man, very much appreciated. I was worried about putting myself out there on Vin, but was so grateful to read the many positive responses. Thanks everyone!
Neagan
2:47
Does Michael Wacha have much trade value this offseason?
Jeffrey Todd
2:47
Sure, obviously limited by injury questions. And he's almost certainly not going anywhere.
Pete
2:47
Pretty safe to say Rockies messed up by not getting more for Reyes?
Jeffrey Todd
2:47
Not really. They were in a tough spot.
John Stamos
2:48
Boxers or Briefs?
Jeffrey Todd
2:48
I mean, how is this not obvious to everyone? Boxer-briefs all day long, every day.
Ryan
2:48
If Brian Dozier were moved for pitching, what kind of return should the Twins expect or command?
Jeffrey Todd
2:49
I guess that depends if you're looking for major leaguers, near-MLB arms, or prospects.
What they want to achieve plays a major role here. Generally, the value proposition would be the same, but given the lack of available pitching I suspect it may be easier to find a willing trade partner if they aren't demanding fully-established major leaguers.
2:50
I know I keep dodging Dozier valuation questions. But how do you put a specific price tag on one guy?
2:51
Basically, I'd say that he is worthy of some very significant talent. They can reasonably ask for a high-end pitching talent, or a solid but perhaps lower-ceiling MLB pitcher with some control left. Finding a team willing to pay that? We'll see.
Doug Fister
2:51
Did I blow my chance at a multi-year deal with an awful September?
Jeffrey Todd
2:51
Not necessarily, but it'd be of the two-year variety. Like 2/15-ish or something? Certainly could end up on another one year deal as well.
2:52
Maybe a bit more meat on that bone given the supply problem, but I'd be surprised if he got anything north of, say, the Bronson Arroyo contract (2/22 or whatever it was).
RIP bearHam
2:52
Sorry, don't know why I had Hellickson on the mind, I meant Matt Kemp, would have made a comment if enabled
Jeffrey Todd
2:53
Okay. I wasn't trying to embarrass you by posting it. I added the question and then quickly checked the WAR #s.
I mean, who would want to sully the name of "RIP bearHam"?
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