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AvatarJay Jaffe
4:38
Might have something to do with being about 45 innings past last year's total (minor and major), with more than a dash of tactical value added because he's a lefty with a typical platoon split. Wouldn't be surprised if he starts a postseason game if the Braves advance.
Fat Matt
4:39
Any chance the Mets bring in Ozzie G to make their circus complete?
Tony Wolfe
4:40
Never put anything past the Mets.
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:41
I haven't heard his name circulated. Don't think he'd be a strong bet to work well with an analytically inclined front office, and I have to think BVW wants that. Don't know that he needs the headaches of working with the Wilpons, either.
orioles fan
4:45
Would you expect Buck Showalter to be seriously considered for any openings?
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:47
He mentioned being interested in the Mets, which could make some sense, but there's no public indication yet that he'll get an interview.
Tony Wolfe
4:48
I'd think odds are more against it than for it because of managers' ages trending down, but it wouldn't surprise me by any means.
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:49
That and salaries. And I don't think the Mets want to pay the big $ (by managerial salary standards) that either Buck or Joe will seek, r that they're willing to work for peanuts.
4:50
I assumed that salary had something to do with why Girardi turned the Reds down, not that David Bell wasn't a good choice.
Fangraph's Lurker
4:50
charlie morton is now 4-0 in elimination games. So happy the Ray's have him next year too
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:50
We have a 10-3 final out of Tampa Bay, which means that we will  have at least one baseball game tomorrow
Tony Wolfe
4:50
Club option for 21, too.
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:53
Re Managerial salaries, from Mike Puma of the NY Post (https://nypost.com/2019/10/06/next-step-in-mets-managerial-search-isnt...)

"The Mets have avoided paying for big-name managers in recent years, but Van Wagenen suggested on a conference call last week that money won’t be an issue for this hire. Even so, Girardi earned $4 million a year in his last contract with the Yankees. And Showalter was reportedly earning $3.5 million a year before he was fired by the Orioles.

"Willie Randolph was the last Mets manager to earn as much as $2 million a year, and that was over a decade ago.
Tony Wolfe
4:54
Adam Duvall will live in Cardinals fans' nightmares for eternity.
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:55
Atlanta cuts the lead to 3-2, as Dansby Swanson's legs pay off again. One out double, advances on a passed ball and an infield grounder.
Bo Hart
4:55
Matheny to the Mets makes the most sense, as much as anyone really.
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:56
No, he doesn't. I can't imagine the Mets would go that retrograde.
4:57
Whoa and now we have a lead change. Ozzie Albies just jacked a two-run homer
Derek
4:59
What is the likelihood of one of the teams currently down in their series pulls off a comeback? Which is most likely?
Tony Wolfe
5:00
The Rays have the pitching to pull off three games in a row, but they're also facing the toughest team to do that against. So I'd probably go with the Nationals.
5:01
If we aren't counting the Cardinals, who are only down one in the fifth and have a pitching demon starting Game 5.
AvatarJay Jaffe
5:02
Let's look at some ZiPS-driven odds based on pitching matchups (https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/post-season-zips)

• Twins in 5: 13.5%
• Rays in 5: 6.9%
• Nationals in 5: 26.3%
• Cardinals in 5 (not including current game): 22.4%

Braves have a Win Expectancy in today's game of about 61%, so that last one is then what, about 13%
5:03
Well, all right.
Adam2
5:04
Did Albies show solidarity with Acuna and give it a look?
AvatarJay Jaffe
5:04
5:05
wow another nice play by Acuña battling the sun on Fowler's line drive.
5:08
5:09
I'll be honest, I had to look up Castillo's first name. It's Diego.
Tony Wolfe
5:09
That Goldschmidt double was 110.5mph off the bat. Smoked.
BPhilb
5:10
As a Cardinal fan I wouldn't wish Matheny on my worst enemy. Ok, that's not true I wish he managed the Cubs.
AvatarJay Jaffe
5:12
i thought he was considered the front-runner for the Royals job., which on the surface seemed pretty perfect.
Grissom on the run
5:14
Why no Julio here?  Seems like precisely the role he was supposed to have today--Keuchel comes out relatively early.
Tony Wolfe
5:15
Feel like the Braves would want him to start an inning.
AvatarJay Jaffe
5:16
Well, considering that Teheran is only on the roster because Chris Martin got hurt, I imagine they weren't particularly confident in him heading into this series, whether the reasons are matchup-based, physical, or something else. I do think there's room to question the Braves for going with Keuchel on short rest and then getting just 3.1 out of him, with the aforementioned hard-hit balls; via Savant, his average EV was 99.0 mph
Tony Wolfe
5:17
is that bad
AvatarJay Jaffe
5:18
Adam
5:23
Which of this year's playoff teams' competitive windows closes the soonest?
Tony Wolfe
5:25
Washington's?
5:27
Scherzer ain't gonna dominate forever, Strasburg and Corbin are each past 30 now, and Rendon is no guarantee to come back. Even with Soto being amazing, it's not hard to see a future where the Nationals are struggling to keep afloat in 2021.
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