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Top 50 MLB Free Agents Chat
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Steve Adams
2:20
I wanted McHugh on the list, but Tim also was right to point out that there's a big injury history, the velocity isn't exciting, and he's in his mid-30s
Tim Dierkes
2:21
McHugh had an awesome season.  I held him off given the lack of velocity.  But I think it'd have been...prudent...to put him on
Ed McW
2:21
We all know Anthopolous loves his 1 year deals. From Donaldson, Ozuna, Hamels, Morton etc etc. Would Greinke, Verlander, or other be the best bet to come to the reigning champs.
Tim Dierkes
2:21
I picked them for Conforto for this reason.  I'm good with Greinke or Verlander there, though I think they'd aim higher than Greinke.  And Jim Crane did indicate JV wants multiple years (which has to mean two?)
Steve Adams
2:22
They already signed Morton to another big one-year deal. Verlander seems fine there, but I wonder if some team will give him the second year, yeah. And he supposedly wanted to be on the West Coast the first time he was traded -- not that that's the be-all end-all in free agency.
Trea Turner’s Ghost
2:22
You don’t have the Nats in on any of the big shortstops even after clearing all the budget space at the deadline and leaving themselves a glaring hole after trading Trea?
Steve Adams
2:23
Tim's really down on the Nats spending anything so direct all your anger his way please and thank you
Tim Dierkes
2:23
We varied a bit on how we felt the Nats would act this winter.  I felt from Rizzo's comments they'll hold off on big commitments.
Steve Adams
2:23
Haha, I actually don't think they'll spend that heavily. But I do think they could be in on more mid-tier guys than TIm wanted to put them on. And Anthony likes them to splash around a bit (hence Schwarber)
jays fan
2:23
How about Noah Syndergaard to the jays on a one year deal for 18-20 million. Seems like a good place for him to rebuild his value. Less risky for the jays than giving Ray 5 years
Tim Dierkes
2:24
Would be a fun way to right the wrong of trading him.  But he seems like he'll accept a QO
Boras
2:24
Can I really expect Scherzer to really get that high an AAV? Or is the lower end more reasonable?
Tim Dierkes
2:24
We can see enough big market teams bidding to drive it there.  I will also note that Jim Bowden predicted a three-year, $150MM deal for Scherzer
Steve Adams
2:24
I think Scherzer is signing a record AAV.
2:25
Look at the teams that will want him, too
Dodgers, Giants, Angels ... easy to see a bidding war building up.
Dodgers/Giants is particularly fun to be bidding on the same guy. And maybe the Padres jump back in
Guest
2:25
only one cubs signing? I find that hard to believe guys
Steve Adams
2:26
They already claimed Miley, which is as good as a signing.
Tim Dierkes
2:26
There is a clear disconnect between what MLB Trade Rumors thinks the Cubs will do, and what Cubs fans think the Cubs will do.
kurt the hurt
2:26
if relievers are used so much in the post season, why are they not valued more in free angency?
Tim Dierkes
2:26
I think just the volatility...so few guys are good year after year.
Steve Adams
2:26
More volatile and injury prone, harder to predict year over year.
Jeremy
2:26
Jon Morosi just tweeted that Marcus Semien prefers west coast teams. Seems Mariners are a likely landing spot for him.
Tim Dierkes
2:27
See how quick my Red Sox pick fell apart?  I think Steve and Anthony were already thinking of that with the Dodgers/Angels picks
Steve Adams
2:27
He's from the Bay Area and recently spoke about how it can be hard to move away from home in free agency. I don't think Morosi's really saying anything all of us couldn't have inferred from context there.
Cito G
2:27
what % do you see Conforto accepting the qo. Was hoping the jays would add him, seems like he could be bad at a reasonable price and would plug in nicely in to that core
Tim Dierkes
2:27
I'd give Conforto a 35% chance of accepting the QO.
Steve Adams
2:28
I'm closer to a coinflip, but I hate putting hard percentages on these things.
Nervous Nelly
2:28
I thought your projections for the guys in the #10-20 range were aggressive, given the strong possibility of a lock-out.  This offseason feels like it'll be musical chairs, with about a dozen chairs available for 50 top guys.  Do you agree that there's significant chance of seeing lots of 1-year deals in March for god players who, in a normal year, would have seen substantial multi-year offers?
Tim Dierkes
2:29
For me, the money is there and will certainly still be when the lockout ends.  It's not like a typical March where budgets have been spent.  So I don't see why guys should get squeezed out, in theory
2:30
We are operating without precedent, at least in MLBTR's 16-year history.  This is the first time we've reached free agency without a CBA in place.
Steve Adams
2:30
Yeah. I can see us being heavy on some of the picks, obviously, but at the end of the day there's going to be demand for these players and a heavy supply of them. Maybe some teams get some unexpectedly good deals, but I don't envision a lockout ending and then Marcus Semien, Marcus Stroman, Nick Castellanos etc. all taking like QO-valued free agent deals
Rocky
2:30
If nothing else happens this off season, the Tiger HAVE to come away with one of the big 5 SS (Correa, Seager, Story, Baez, Simien), right?  is there really any chance they DON'T?
Steve Adams
2:30
I'd be pretty shocked if they didn't sign one of the "big five" shortstops yeah
Yankees, too
Tim Dierkes
2:30
I'd be very surprised if the Tigers don't get one.  Maybe 10% chance of that
Jim A.
2:30
White Sox GM, Rick Hahn was on a local radio station today and said the Sox would be more than open and willing at pursuing a #1 starter this offseason. With Kopech entering the rotation this season, what realistic possibility the Sox could land an Ace this offseason and who would be a possibility through trade or free agency that fits that?
Tim Dierkes
2:31
Last question here...
I think a trade makes more sense there.  Time to bring Frankie Montas back.
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